SwitzerlandversusEstonia

Switzerland more likely to win

Why

• On results in T20 internationals so far, Switzerland rate stronger than Estonia (1,478 vs 1,392 on our results rating)
• In the last 2 T20 internationals between these sides, Switzerland won 2 and Estonia won 0
• Estonia are playing at home in Estonia

Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

Switzerland started on 64%; Switzerland batted first.

Switzerland's chances ranged from 65% to 100% during the match (Estonia: 0% to 35%).

Biggest swings

1. 0.1: Muhammad Usman to Faheem Nazir, four by Faheem Nazir. Switzerland up from 65% to 68%.
2. 1.1: Arslan Amjad to Faheem Nazir, four by Faheem Nazir. Switzerland up from 68% to 71%.
3. 2.2: Zeeshan Ali to H Deshan, four by H Deshan. Switzerland up from 75% to 78%.

Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.