KuwaitversusQatar

12 Dec 2025 · T20

Recorded result

Kuwait won by 68 runs

Kuwait20.0 overs160/5 Qatar16.2 overs92/10 Al Amerat Cricket Ground Oman Cricket (Ministry Turf 1) ↗

Win chances before this match

Before the toss

Kuwait more likely to win

59%Kuwait41%Qatar

Why

In the last 1 T20 internationals between these sides, Kuwait won 1 and Qatar won 0
On results in T20 internationals so far, Kuwait rate stronger than Qatar (1,410 vs 1,385 on our results rating)

Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Kuwait started on 58%; Kuwait batted first.

Kuwait’s chance of winning (%) · Qatar is the rest

Kuwait's chances ranged from 56% to 100% during the match (Qatar: 0% to 45%).

Biggest swings

4.4: Aysha to Zeefa Jilani, six by Zeefa Jilani. Kuwait up from 60% to 65%.
7.5: G Candiru to Priyada Murali, Priyada Murali out. Qatar up from 18% to 22%.
2nd inns 1.5: T Yangchen to SK Rana, SK Rana out. Kuwait up from 85% to 89%.

Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Kuwait160/5 Qatar92/10

Innings 2

Qatar

92/1016.2 overs

Batting, bowling & fall of wickets

Qatar batting
Batter	Dismissal	R	B	4s	6s	SR
CE Jacobrun out · Amna Tariq · Maryam Omar 2 fours · 0 sixes	run out · Amna Tariq	13	15	2	0	86.67
SK Ranacaught · B Shanti · T Yangchen 0 fours · 0 sixes	caught · B Shanti · b T Yangchen	4	5	0	0	80.00
Shahreeennawabrun out · Khadija Khalil, S Lita D'Sa · T Yangchen 0 fours · 0 sixes	run out · Khadija Khalil, S Lita D'Sa	0	0	0	0	—
Ayshacaught · S Lita D'Sa · Mariamma Hyder 4 fours · 0 sixes	caught · S Lita D'Sa · b Mariamma Hyder	33	30	4	0	110.00
Gertrude Candirucaught and bowled · Priyada Murali 0 fours · 0 sixes	caught and bowled · b Priyada Murali	1	11	0	0	9.09

Bowler	Overs	R	W	Runs / 6 balls	WD	NB
Sabreen Zaki0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	1.0	8	0	8.00	0	0
T Yangchen0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls	2.0	14	1	7.00	2	0
Maryam Omar0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls	4.0	14	1	3.50	0	1
Amna Tariq0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls	3.2	8	0	2.40	4	0
Mariamma Hyder0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls	2.0	20	1	10.00	1	0
Priyada Murali0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	2.0	15	1	7.50	0	0
Zeefa Jilani0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls	2.0	8	2	4.00	1	0

Over / set	Runs	Score
1	8	8/0
2	6	14/2
3	3	17/2
4	9	26/2
5	3	29/3
6	2	31/3
7	11	42/3
8	5	47/3
9	6	53/4
10	2	55/4
11	9	64/4
12	9	73/5
13	7	80/5
14	5	85/6
15	2	87/8
16	3	90/9
17	2	92/10

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