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Photo: Dave Morton
Original photograph ↗ · Public domain
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
31 May 2025 · T20
Old Trafford · Venue photographRecorded result
Lancashire started on 57%; Lancashire batted first.
Lancashire's chances ranged from 58% to 100% during the match (Nottinghamshire: 0% to 42%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Clarkecaught · Ashton Turner · Tom Aspinwall 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ashton Turner · b Tom Aspinwall | 12 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Lyndon Jamesbowled · Tom Aspinwall 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Tom Aspinwall | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 120.00 |
| Jack Haynescaught · Keaton Jennings · CM Barnard 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Keaton Jennings · b CM Barnard | 23 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 127.78 |
6 fours · 3 sixes | lbw · b CM Barnard | 60 | 32 | 6 | 3 | 187.50 |
| bowled · b Chris Green |
| 24 |
| 19 |
| 1 |
| 1 |
| 126.32 |
0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b CM Barnard | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Liam Patterson-Whitestumped · Matthew Hurst · Chris Green 2 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Matthew Hurst · b Chris Green | 15 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 187.50 |
|---|
| Matthew Montgomerycaught · Jack Blatherwick · Mitchell Stanley 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jack Blatherwick · b Mitchell Stanley | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Conor McKerrcaught · Chris Green · Tom Aspinwall 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Chris Green · b Tom Aspinwall | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 83.33 |
|---|
| Calvin Harrisonnot out 1 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 12* | 5 | 1 | 1 | 240.00 |
|---|
| Dillon Penningtoncaught and bowled · Jack Blatherwick 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Jack Blatherwick | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 2 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CM Barnard0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 3 | 5.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Mitchell Stanley0 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 37 | 1 | 12.33 | 0 | 2 |
| Tom Aspinwall0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 3 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 |
| 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 2 | 7.00 | 1 | 0 | |
| Luke Wells0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 17.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Jack Blatherwick0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.1 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 8.77 | 1 | 0 |
1-20 (Joe Clarke, 2.3) · 2-21 (Lyndon James, 2.5) · 3-82 (Jack Haynes, 8.3) · 4-128 (Tom Moores, 13.5) · 5-130 (Moisés Henriques, 14.3) · 6-131 (Daniel Sams, 14.5) · 7-140 (Matthew Montgomery, 15.5) · 8-152 (Liam Patterson-White, 17.1) · 9-162 (Conor McKerr, 18.1) · 10-169 (Dillon Pennington, 19.1)
Recorded target: 217 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/0 |
| 2 | 12 | 19/0 |
| 3 | 3 | 22/2 |
| 4 | 3 | 25/2 |
| 5 | 8 | 33/2 |
| 6 | 16 | 49/2 |
| 7 | 18 | 67/2 |
| 8 | 13 | 80/2 |
| 9 | 2 | 82/3 |
| 10 | 9 | 91/3 |
| 11 | 11 | 102/3 |
| 12 | 7 | 109/3 |
| 13 | 16 | 125/3 |
| 14 | 3 | 128/4 |
| 15 | 3 | 131/6 |
| 16 | 9 | 140/7 |
| 17 | 9 | 149/7 |
| 18 | 13 | 162/8 |
| 19 | 7 | 169/9 |
| 20 | 0 | 169/10 |
Chris Green: Servite et contribuere · CC0
Michael Jones: Dave Morton · Public domain
Moisés Henriques: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Tom Moores: Dave Morton · Public domain
Daniel Sams: Neb · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ashton Turner: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.