SingaporeversusSaudi Arabia

29 Apr 2025 · T20

Recorded result

Saudi Arabia won by 7 wickets

Singapore20.0 overs112/8 Saudi Arabia14.1 overs115/3 Bayuemas Oval, Kuala Lumpur ↗

Win chances before this match

Before the toss

Saudi Arabia more likely to win

21%Singapore79%Saudi Arabia

Why

On results in T20 internationals so far, Saudi Arabia rate stronger than Singapore (1,560 vs 1,394 on our results rating)
In the last 2 T20 internationals between these sides, Saudi Arabia won 2 and Singapore won 0

Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Singapore started on 20%; Singapore batted first.

Singapore’s chance of winning (%) · Saudi Arabia is the rest

Singapore's chances ranged from 0% to 22% during the match (Saudi Arabia: 79% to 100%).

Biggest swings

0.4: Ishtiaq Ahmad to JS Iggo, JS Iggo out. Saudi Arabia up from 80% to 85%.
1.5: Usman Najeeb to Aritra Dutta, Aritra Dutta out. Saudi Arabia up from 85% to 89%.
2nd inns 0.4: DPS Tyagi to Faisal Khan, Faisal Khan out. Singapore up from 15% to 22%.

Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Singapore112/8 Saudi Arabia115/3

Innings 1

Singapore

112/820.0 overs

Batting, bowling & fall of wickets

Singapore batting
Batter	Dismissal	R	B	4s	6s	SR
Aritra Duttacaught · Nawazish Akhtar · Usman Najeeb 0 fours · 0 sixes	caught · Nawazish Akhtar · b Usman Najeeb	1	8	0	0	12.50
JS Iggocaught · Waji Ul Hassan · Ishtiaq Ahmad 0 fours · 0 sixes	caught · Waji Ul Hassan · b Ishtiaq Ahmad	0	1	0	0	0.00
Girin Gunecaught · Waji Ul Hassan · Usman Khalid 0 fours · 0 sixes	caught · Waji Ul Hassan · b Usman Khalid	1	6	0	0	16.67
Chandramauli Sridevstumped · Nawazish Akhtar · Zain Ul Abidin 2 fours · 0 sixes	stumped · Nawazish Akhtar · b Zain Ul Abidin	29	36	2	0	80.56
Manpreet Singhcaught · Manan Ali · Ishtiaq Ahmad 3 fours · 1 sixes	caught · Manan Ali · b Ishtiaq Ahmad	40	33	3	1

Bowler	Overs	R	W	Runs / 6 balls	WD
Ishtiaq Ahmad0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	20	3	5.00	4
Usman Najeeb0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	28	1	7.00	5
Ghayour Ahmad0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls	3.0	14	0	4.67	1
Usman Khalid0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	29	1	7.25	0
Zain Ul Abidin0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	10	3	2.50	0
Abdul Waheed0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	1.0	10	0	10.00	0

Over / set	Runs	Score
1	3	3/1
2	5	8/2
3	4	12/2
4	7	19/2
5	2	21/2
6	4	25/3
7	4	29/3
8	10	39/3
9	8	47/3
10	5	52/3
11	10	62/3
12	1	63/4
13	6	69/4
14	3	72/5
15	9	81/5
16	2	83/6
17	10	93/6
18	2	95/7
19	6	101/7
20	11	112/8

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