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Nordic Women T20 Cup · 2025 · Women
29 Aug 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Sweden more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Sweden started on 64%; Sweden batted first.
Sweden's chances ranged from 56% to 100% during the match (Norway: 0% to 44%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Goradrun out · Zara Mohammad · Zara Mohammad 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Zara Mohammad | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 200.00 |
| Mirab Sajjadrun out · Zara Mohammad · A Vaidya 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Zara Mohammad | 3 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 17.65 |
| Bijeyata Kumaricaught · Kanchan Rana · Jayasooriya 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kanchan Rana · b Jayasooriya | 2 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 12.50 |
| Ayesha Hasanrun out · A Vaidya · Zara Mohammad 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · A Vaidya | 12 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
| R Immadicaught · E Thelander · Zara Mohammad 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · E Thelander · b Zara Mohammad | 8 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 61.54 |
| caught · Rashmi Somashekhar · b Kanchan Rana |
| 11 |
| 25 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 44.00 |
| VB Viyalacaught · Zara Mohammad · Malyun Mohamed Yusuf 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Zara Mohammad · b Malyun Mohamed Yusuf | 6 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 42.86 |
|---|
| Mirab Razwanbowled · Kanchan Rana 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Kanchan Rana | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Purvi Kumarinot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 9 | 0 | 0 | 22.22 |
|---|
| Lopamudrabowled · Jayasooriya 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jayasooriya | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Prachi Kumarinot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 31 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zara Mohammad0 maidens · 12 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 5.50 | 12 | 0 |
| A Vaidya0 maidens · 6 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 3.00 | 6 | 1 |
| Jayasooriya0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 2.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Hareer Chamto0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 4.67 | 2 | 0 |
| Malyun Mohamed Yusuf0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 2.75 | 5 | 0 |
| Kanchan Rana0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 6.00 | 5 | 0 |
1-8 (AS Gorad, 0.4) · 2-19 (Bijeyata Kumari, 4.5) · 3-25 (Mirab Sajjad, 5.5) · 4-41 (R Immadi, 9.4) · 5-51 (Ayesha Hasan, 11.5) · 6-73 (Alina Aslam, 16.3) · 7-73 (Mirab Razwan, 16.4) · 8-76 (VB Viyala, 17.4) · 9-78 (Lopamudra, 18.5)
Recorded target: 176 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 11/1 |
| 2 | 2 | 13/1 |
| 3 | 2 | 15/1 |
| 4 | 1 | 16/1 |
| 5 | 3 | 19/2 |
| 6 | 6 | 25/3 |
| 7 | 5 | 30/3 |
| 8 | 2 | 32/3 |
| 9 | 6 | 38/3 |
| 10 | 4 | 42/4 |
| 11 | 5 | 47/4 |
| 12 | 5 | 52/5 |
| 13 | 4 | 56/5 |
| 14 | 2 | 58/5 |
| 15 | 8 | 66/5 |
| 16 | 5 | 71/5 |
| 17 | 4 | 75/7 |
| 18 | 1 | 76/8 |
| 19 | 2 | 78/9 |
| 20 | 3 | 81/9 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.