Galle MarvelsversusJaffna Kings

5 Jul 2024 · T20

Rangiri Dambulla International Stadium · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Jaffna Kings won by 5 wickets

Galle Marvels20.0 overs187/5 Jaffna Kings19.4 overs191/5 Rangiri Dambulla International Stadium ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Galle Marvels started on 51%; Galle Marvels batted first.

Galle Marvels’s chance of winning (%) · Jaffna Kings is the rest

Galle Marvels's chances ranged from 4% to 91% during the match (Jaffna Kings: 9% to 96%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 18.5: D Pretorius to KIC Asalanka, six by KIC Asalanka. Jaffna Kings up from 13% to 29%.
2nd inns 19.1: SSD Arachchige to Azmatullah Omarzai, four by Azmatullah Omarzai. Jaffna Kings up from 28% to 49%.
2nd inns 19.3: SSD Arachchige to Azmatullah Omarzai, six by Azmatullah Omarzai. Jaffna Kings up from 56% to 96%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Match details

Toss: Jaffna Kings chose to field
Player of the match: Azmatullah Omarzai
match referees: BCMS Mendis
reserve umpires: BSP Fernando
tv umpires: RR Wimalasiri
umpires: IC Soysa, R Black

Match history & source

On 5 Jul 2024, Galle Marvels played Jaffna Kings at Rangiri Dambulla International Stadium. Recorded result: Jaffna Kings won by 5 wickets.

Calculation date: 9 Nov 2026.

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