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Quadrangular Twenty20 Series (Thailand) · 2023/24 · Men
13 Feb 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Thailand started on 46%; Thailand batted first.
Thailand's chances ranged from 0% to 47% during the match (Saudi Arabia: 54% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Faisal Khancaught · Robert Raina · Chanchai Pengkumta 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Robert Raina · b Chanchai Pengkumta | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 200.00 |
| Kashif Siddiquecaught · Robert Raina · Nopphon Senamontree 6 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Robert Raina · b Nopphon Senamontree | 26 | 16 | 6 | 0 | 162.50 |
| Abdul Waheednot out 9 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 58* | 38 | 9 | 1 | 152.63 |
| Waji Ul Hassanbowled · K Namchaikul 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b K Namchaikul | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Usman Khalidcaught · Chaloemwong Chatphaisan · Nopphon Senamontree 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Chaloemwong Chatphaisan · b Nopphon Senamontree | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
| Manan Alilbw · K Namchaikul 0 fours · 0 sixes |
|---|
| lbw · b K Namchaikul |
| 2 |
| 9 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 22.22 |
| Hisham Sheikhnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 14* | 25 | 0 | 0 | 56.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chanchai Pengkumta0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 12.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Robert Raina0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 8.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Sarawut Maliwan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 8.33 | 0 | 0 |
| N Nuntarach0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 14.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Nopphon Senamontree0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 15 | 2 | 3.75 | 0 | 0 |
| K Namchaikul0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 15 | 2 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
| S Desungnoen0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 4.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Austin Lazarus0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 0.1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 24.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-9 (Faisal Khan, 0.4) · 2-69 (Kashif Siddique, 5.5) · 3-70 (Waji Ul Hassan, 6.2) · 4-73 (Usman Khalid, 7.1) · 5-76 (Manan Ali, 9.0)
Recorded target: 113 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 10/1 |
| 2 | 8 | 18/1 |
| 3 | 14 | 32/1 |
| 4 | 14 | 46/1 |
| 5 | 15 | 61/1 |
| 6 | 8 | 69/2 |
| 7 | 4 | 73/3 |
| 8 | 1 | 74/4 |
| 9 | 2 | 76/5 |
| 10 | 2 | 78/5 |
| 11 | 9 | 87/5 |
| 12 | 4 | 91/5 |
| 13 | 4 | 95/5 |
| 14 | 7 | 102/5 |
| 15 | 5 | 107/5 |
| 16 | 4 | 111/5 |
| 17 | 4 | 115/5 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.