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Photo: John Sutton
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
8 Jun 2025 · T20
The County Ground, Hove · Venue photographRecorded result
Sussex started on 56%; Sussex batted first.
Sussex's chances ranged from 42% to 100% during the match (Glamorgan: 0% to 58%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kiran Carlsoncaught · James Coles · Ollie Robinson1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · James Coles · b Ollie Robinson | 12 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
| William Smalebowled · James Coles 1 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b James Coles | 19 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 105.56 |
| BI Kellawaycaught · Tom Clark · Nathan McAndrew 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Tom Clark · b Nathan McAndrew | 10 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 200.00 |
| Colin Ingramcaught · John Simpson · Nathan McAndrew 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · John Simpson · b Nathan McAndrew | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 |
| caught · John Simpson · b Nathan McAndrew |
| 6 |
| 5 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 120.00 |
| Asa Tribecaught · Daniel Hughes · Brad Currie 1 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Daniel Hughes · b Brad Currie | 34 | 21 | 1 | 3 | 161.90 |
|---|
| Daniel Douthwaitebowled · Nathan McAndrew 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Nathan McAndrew | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
 Timm van der Gugtencaught · Tom Alsop · Nathan McAndrew0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Alsop · b Nathan McAndrew | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Mason Cranecaught · John Simpson · Tymal Mills2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · John Simpson · b Tymal Mills | 25 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 131.58 |
|---|
| Andy Gorvinnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 6 | 0 | 0 | 83.33 |
|---|
 Jamie McIlroybowled · Tymal Mills0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Tymal Mills | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Currie0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 36 | 1 | 12.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Ollie Robinson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Nathan McAndrew0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 19 | 5 | 4.75 | 2 | 0 |
 Tymal Mills0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.2 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 4.29 | 0 | 0 |
| James Coles0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 7.33 | 0 | 0 |
1-29 (Kiran Carlson, 3.4) · 2-40 (BI Kellaway, 4.4) · 3-40 (Colin Ingram, 4.5) · 4-47 (William Smale, 6.4) · 5-47 (Chris Cooke, 7.1) · 6-49 (Daniel Douthwaite, 7.5) · 7-49 (Timm van der Gugten, 8.0) · 8-102 (Asa Tribe, 13.0) · 9-117 (Mason Crane, 15.1) · 10-117 (Jamie McIlroy, 15.2)
Recorded target: 196 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 8 | 12/0 |
| 3 | 15 | 27/0 |
| 4 | 8 | 35/1 |
| 5 | 5 | 40/3 |
| 6 | 6 | 46/3 |
| 7 | 1 | 47/4 |
| 8 | 2 | 49/7 |
| 9 | 12 | 61/7 |
| 10 | 7 | 68/7 |
| 11 | 13 | 81/7 |
| 12 | 4 | 85/7 |
| 13 | 17 | 102/8 |
| 14 | 9 | 111/8 |
| 15 | 6 | 117/8 |
| 16 | 0 | 117/10 |
Tom Alsop: Dave Morton · Public domain
Mason Crane: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Jack Carson: Dave Morton · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kiran Carlson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Chris Cooke: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jamie McIlroy: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Robinson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Timm van der Gugten: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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