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ICC Women's T20 World Cup Europe Division 1 Qualifier · 2025 · Women
21 Aug 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Ireland more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Netherlands started on 38%; Netherlands batted first.
Netherlands's chances ranged from 1% to 60% during the match (Ireland: 40% to 99%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amy Hunterbowled · Caroline de Lange 3 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Caroline de Lange | 21 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 91.30 |
| Gaby Lewisnot out 11 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 66* | 52 | 11 | 0 | 126.92 |
| Orla Prendergastcaught · Babette de Leede · Iris Zwilling 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Babette de Leede · b Iris Zwilling | 28 | 26 | 2 | 1 | 107.69 |
| Leah Paulnot out 2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 17* | 15 | 2 | 0 | 113.33 |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 8 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|
| Iris Zwilling0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 5.25 | 0 | 0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heather Siegers0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.2 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 9.60 | 0 | 0 |
| Robine Rijke0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Silver Siegers0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 37 | 0 | 12.33 | 5 | 0 |
| Caroline de Lange0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 4.75 | 0 | 0 |
| I van der Woning0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 6.50 | 2 | 0 |
1-65 (Amy Hunter, 7.4) · 2-114 (Orla Prendergast, 15.2)
Recorded target: 138 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 2 | 7 | 9/0 |
| 3 | 6 | 15/0 |
| 4 | 5 | 20/0 |
| 5 | 10 | 30/0 |
| 6 | 17 | 47/0 |
| 7 | 16 | 63/0 |
| 8 | 4 | 67/1 |
| 9 | 5 | 72/1 |
| 10 | 4 | 76/1 |
| 11 | 10 | 86/1 |
| 12 | 6 | 92/1 |
| 13 | 4 | 96/1 |
| 14 | 5 | 101/1 |
| 15 | 11 | 112/1 |
| 16 | 3 | 115/2 |
| 17 | 7 | 122/2 |
| 18 | 3 | 125/2 |
| 19 | 11 | 136/2 |
| 20 | 5 | 141/2 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.