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ICC Women's T20 World Cup Europe Division 1 Qualifier · 2025 · Women
21 Aug 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Ireland more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Netherlands started on 38%; Netherlands batted first.
Netherlands's chances ranged from 1% to 60% during the match (Ireland: 40% to 99%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P Molkenboerlbw · Arlene Kelly 3 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Arlene Kelly | 27 | 30 | 3 | 0 | 90.00 |
| Heather Siegersrun out · Gaby Lewis, Arlene Kelly · Arlene Kelly 3 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Gaby Lewis, Arlene Kelly | 27 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 112.50 |
| Babette de Leedecaught · Amy Hunter · Laura Delany 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Amy Hunter · b Laura Delany | 13 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Robine Rijkebowled · Laura Delany 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Laura Delany | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
| Frederique Overdijkrun out · Arlene Kelly, Ava Canning · Arlene Kelly 3 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Arlene Kelly, Ava Canning | 25 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 119.05 |
| MIW van den Raadcaught · Arlene Kelly · Jane Maguire 1 fours · 0 sixes |
|---|
| caught · Arlene Kelly · b Jane Maguire |
| 10 |
| 13 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 76.92 |
| Iris Zwillingnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 12* | 10 | 1 | 0 | 120.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 18 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orla Prendergast0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 6.00 | 3 | 0 |
| Ava Canning0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Jane Maguire0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 9.00 | 5 | 0 |
| LA McBride0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 7.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Arlene Kelly0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Laura Delany0 maidens · 9 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 19 | 2 | 6.33 | 9 | 0 |
1-53 (Heather Siegers, 8.0) · 2-64 (P Molkenboer, 9.5) · 3-73 (Robine Rijke, 12.2) · 4-74 (Babette de Leede, 12.5) · 5-96 (MIW van den Raad, 15.5) · 6-137 (Frederique Overdijk, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/0 |
| 2 | 8 | 11/0 |
| 3 | 9 | 20/0 |
| 4 | 3 | 23/0 |
| 5 | 9 | 32/0 |
| 6 | 7 | 39/0 |
| 7 | 7 | 46/0 |
| 8 | 7 | 53/1 |
| 9 | 8 | 61/1 |
| 10 | 3 | 64/2 |
| 11 | 2 | 66/2 |
| 12 | 7 | 73/2 |
| 13 | 2 | 75/4 |
| 14 | 4 | 79/4 |
| 15 | 6 | 85/4 |
| 16 | 15 | 100/5 |
| 17 | 11 | 111/5 |
| 18 | 6 | 117/5 |
| 19 | 10 | 127/5 |
| 20 | 10 | 137/6 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.