AustraliaversusSouth Africa

30 Sept 2026 · ODI

Recorded result

Australia won by 45 runs

Australia50.0 overs322/9 South Africa28.0 overs145/4 North West Cricket Stadium, Potchefstroom ↗

Win chances before this match

Before the toss

South Africa more likely to win

31%Australia69%South Africa

Why

South Africa are playing at home in South Africa
In the last 10 ODIs between these sides, South Africa won 8 and Australia won 2
On results in ODIs so far, South Africa rate stronger than Australia (1,709 vs 1,673 on our results rating)

Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.