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Saudi Arabia tour of Qatar · 2025 · Men
21 Jul 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Saudi Arabia more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Saudi Arabia started on 66%; Saudi Arabia batted first.
Saudi Arabia's chances ranged from 2% to 96% during the match (Qatar: 4% to 98%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saqlain Arshadcaught · Abdul Wahid · Ishtiaq Ahmad 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Abdul Wahid · b Ishtiaq Ahmad | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Kamran Khancaught · Faisal Khan · Ishtiaq Ahmad 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Faisal Khan · b Ishtiaq Ahmad | 12 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 150.00 |
| Ikramullah Khancaught · Abdul Wahid · Zahoor Ahmad 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Abdul Wahid · b Zahoor Ahmad | 13 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Muhammad Tanveerbowled · Zain Ul Abidin 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Zain Ul Abidin | 2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 18.18 |
| Muhammad Asimcaught · Ishtiaq Ahmad · Zain Ul Abidin 7 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Ishtiaq Ahmad · b Zain Ul Abidin | 44 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 176.00 |
| Mirza Mohammed Baignot out 1 fours · 4 sixes |
|---|
| not out |
| 43* |
| 35 |
| 1 |
| 4 |
| 122.86 |
| Daniel Louiscaught · Nawazish Akhtar · Waji Ul Hassan 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nawazish Akhtar · b Waji Ul Hassan | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Shahzaib Jamilnot out 4 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 41* | 21 | 4 | 2 | 195.24 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 5 · wides: 5 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 5 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ishtiaq Ahmad0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.2 | 0 | 23 | 2 | 6.90 | 0 | 0 |
| Zahoor Ahmad0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Zain Ul Abidin0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 2 | 5.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Usman Najeeb0 maidens · 3 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 45 | 0 | 11.25 | 3 | 1 |
| Abdul Wahid0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 9.67 | 1 | 0 |
| Waji Ul Hassan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 11.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-0 (Saqlain Arshad, 0.1) · 2-25 (Kamran Khan, 2.5) · 3-29 (Ikramullah Khan, 3.5) · 4-50 (Muhammad Tanveer, 7.3) · 5-90 (Muhammad Asim, 11.4) · 6-95 (Daniel Louis, 12.4)
Recorded target: 170 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/1 |
| 2 | 9 | 15/1 |
| 3 | 10 | 25/2 |
| 4 | 5 | 30/3 |
| 5 | 3 | 33/3 |
| 6 | 5 | 38/3 |
| 7 | 12 | 50/3 |
| 8 | 1 | 51/4 |
| 9 | 15 | 66/4 |
| 10 | 4 | 70/4 |
| 11 | 12 | 82/4 |
| 12 | 10 | 92/5 |
| 13 | 10 | 102/6 |
| 14 | 10 | 112/6 |
| 15 | 11 | 123/6 |
| 16 | 10 | 133/6 |
| 17 | 8 | 141/6 |
| 18 | 9 | 150/6 |
| 19 | 15 | 165/6 |
| 20 | 8 | 173/6 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.