DenmarkversusRomania

14 Jul 2026 · T20

Recorded result

Denmark won by 6 runs

Denmark20.0 overs162/7 Romania20.0 overs156/8 Svanholm Park, Brondby ↗

Win chances before this match

Before the toss

Denmark more likely to win

61%Denmark39%Romania

Why

Denmark are playing at home in Denmark
On results in T20 internationals so far, Denmark rate stronger than Romania (1,602 vs 1,566 on our results rating)

Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Denmark started on 57%; Denmark batted first.

Denmark’s chance of winning (%) · Romania is the rest

Denmark's chances ranged from 9% to 89% during the match (Romania: 11% to 91%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 17.3: Surya Anand to Rameez Khan, six by Rameez Khan. Romania up from 50% to 75%.
2nd inns 18.2: SA Ahmad to Md Ariyan, six by Md Ariyan. Romania up from 72% to 91%.
2nd inns 19.2: Saud Munir to J Fernando, Rameez Khan out. Denmark up from 45% to 66%.

Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Denmark162/7 Romania156/8

Innings 2

Romania

156/820.0 overs

Batting, bowling & fall of wickets

Romania batting
Batter	Dismissal	R	B	4s	6s	SR
AN Lascucaught · Saif Ahmad · Surya Anand 3 fours · 1 sixes	caught · Saif Ahmad · b Surya Anand	22	12	3	1	183.33
Taranjeet Singhcaught · Shangeev Thanikaithasan · Saud Munir 2 fours · 3 sixes	caught · Shangeev Thanikaithasan · b Saud Munir	54	42	2	3	128.57
Irfan Ringkubowled · Saud Munir 2 fours · 0 sixes	bowled · b Saud Munir	14	13	2	0	107.69
V Sainirun out · Hamid Shah, Lucky Ali · Hamid Shah 2 fours · 1 sixes	run out · Hamid Shah, Lucky Ali	27	25	2	1	108.00
Avishka Iroshancaught · Shangeev Thanikaithasan · Saud Munir 0 fours · 0 sixes	caught · Shangeev Thanikaithasan · b Saud Munir	0	1	0	0	0.00

Bowler	Overs	R	W	Runs / 6 balls	WD
Nicholas Sonne-Rudd0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls	2.0	20	0	10.00	1
Surya Anand0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	28	1	7.00	1
Saud Munir0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	23	4	5.75	0
Saif Ahmad0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	33	1	8.25	0
Lucky Ali0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	2.0	13	0	6.50	0
Abdullah Mahmood0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls	2.0	18	0	9.00	1
Hamid Shah0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls	2.0	20	0	10.00	4

Over / set	Runs	Score
1	7	7/0
2	9	16/0
3	13	29/0
4	6	35/1
5	10	45/1
6	4	49/1
7	6	55/2
8	10	65/2
9	4	69/2
10	8	77/2
11	9	86/2
12	9	95/2
13	9	104/2
14	9	113/2
15	11	124/3
16	6	130/5
17	6	136/5
18	9	145/5
19	10	155/6
20	1	156/8

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