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Photo: Mtaylor848
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
17 Jul 2025 · T20
Headingley · Venue photographRecorded result
Lancashire started on 58%; Lancashire batted first.
Lancashire's chances ranged from 20% to 99% during the match (Yorkshire: 1% to 80%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jonny Bairstowbowled · Luke Wood1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Luke Wood | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 125.00 |
 Dawid Malancaught · Keaton Jennings · James Anderson0 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Keaton Jennings · b James Anderson | 19 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 146.15 |
 William Luxtoncaught · Chris Green · James Anderson2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Chris Green · b James Anderson | 9 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 150.00 |
 Abdullah Shafiquecaught · Ashton Turner · James Anderson7 fours · 1 sixes |
| caught · Ashton Turner · b James Anderson |
| 54 |
| 34 |
| 7 |
| 1 |
| 158.82 |
| James Whartonbowled · Chris Green 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Chris Green | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 110.00 |
|---|
 Dominic Besscaught · Jos Buttler · Luke Wood2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jos Buttler · b Luke Wood | 13 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 162.50 |
|---|
 Will Sutherlandcaught · Jack Blatherwick · Tom Aspinwall3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jack Blatherwick · b Tom Aspinwall | 28 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 127.27 |
|---|
 Jordan Thompsoncaught and bowled · Chris Green0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Chris Green | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
 Matt Milneslbw · Chris Green0 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b Chris Green | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 111.11 |
|---|
| JA Chohancaught · Matthew Hurst · Jack Blatherwick 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Matthew Hurst · b Jack Blatherwick | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
|---|
 Dan Moriartynot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 0 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 James Anderson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 3 | 6.25 | 0 | 0 |
 Luke Wood0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 2 | 8.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Tom Aspinwall0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 36 | 1 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Chris Green0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 3 | 6.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Jack Blatherwick0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.1 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 8.77 | 0 | 0 |
| Luke Wells0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 13.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-13 (Jonny Bairstow, 1.2) · 2-24 (William Luxton, 2.5) · 3-44 (Dawid Malan, 5.1) · 4-66 (James Wharton, 7.5) · 5-97 (Dominic Bess, 10.4) · 6-132 (Abdullah Shafique, 14.4) · 7-137 (Jordan Thompson, 15.4) · 8-151 (Matt Milnes, 18.0) · 9-151 (Will Sutherland, 18.1) · 10-153 (JA Chohan, 19.1)
Recorded target: 175 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 12/0 |
| 2 | 9 | 21/1 |
| 3 | 4 | 25/2 |
| 4 | 6 | 31/2 |
| 5 | 13 | 44/2 |
| 6 | 5 | 49/3 |
| 7 | 11 | 60/3 |
| 8 | 10 | 70/4 |
| 9 | 8 | 78/4 |
| 10 | 13 | 91/4 |
| 11 | 8 | 99/5 |
| 12 | 10 | 109/5 |
| 13 | 11 | 120/5 |
| 14 | 10 | 130/5 |
| 15 | 4 | 134/6 |
| 16 | 3 | 137/7 |
| 17 | 10 | 147/7 |
| 18 | 4 | 151/8 |
| 19 | 2 | 153/9 |
| 20 | 0 | 153/10 |
Luke Wood: Dave Morton · Public domain
Chris Green: Servite et contribuere · CC0
William Luxton: Dave Morton · Public domain
James Anderson: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Will Sutherland: @evermorestation on Twitter · CC BY-SA 4.0
Dan Moriarty: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jos Buttler: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Abdullah Shafique: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matt Milnes: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Dawid Malan: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Philip Salt: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jordan Thompson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jonny Bairstow: Mcadge · CC BY-SA 4.0
Dominic Bess: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ashton Turner: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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