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Photo: Mtaylor848
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Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
17 Jul 2025 · T20
Headingley · Venue photographRecorded result
Lancashire started on 58%; Lancashire batted first.
Lancashire's chances ranged from 20% to 99% during the match (Yorkshire: 1% to 80%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Philip Saltcaught · William Luxton · JA Chohan5 fours · 2 sixes | caught · William Luxton · b JA Chohan | 42 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 144.83 |
| Keaton Jenningscaught · Abdullah Shafique · Dan Moriarty 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Abdullah Shafique · b Dan Moriarty | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 116.67 |
 Jos Buttlerrun out · Will Sutherland · Jordan Thompson8 fours · 3 sixes | run out · Will Sutherland | 77 | 46 | 8 | 3 | 167.39 |
 Ashton Turnerbowled · JA Chohan0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b JA Chohan | 2 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 100.00 |
| Luke Wellscaught · Abdullah Shafique · Jordan Thompson 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Abdullah Shafique · b Jordan Thompson | 9 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 112.50 |
|---|
| Matthew Hurstcaught · Dominic Bess · Matt Milnes 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Dominic Bess · b Matt Milnes | 11 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 91.67 |
|---|
 Chris Greencaught · Jordan Thompson · Will Sutherland1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Jordan Thompson · b Will Sutherland | 16 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 145.45 |
|---|
| Jack Blatherwickcaught · Will Sutherland · Matt Milnes 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Will Sutherland · b Matt Milnes | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 200.00 |
|---|
 Luke Woodrun out · Dominic Bess · Jordan Thompson0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Dominic Bess | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Tom Aspinwallnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
 James Andersonbowled · Jordan Thompson0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jordan Thompson | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Matt Milnes0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 2 | 6.75 | 0 | 0 |
 Dominic Bess0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 10.50 | 1 | 0 |
 Dan Moriarty0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 9.33 | 1 | 0 |
 Will Sutherland0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 35 | 1 | 11.67 | 2 | 0 |
 Jordan Thompson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.5 | 0 | 30 | 2 | 7.83 | 0 | 0 |
| JA Chohan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 2 | 8.25 | 0 | 0 |
1-23 (Keaton Jennings, 3.0) · 2-65 (Philip Salt, 7.1) · 3-67 (Ashton Turner, 7.3) · 4-110 (Luke Wells, 11.1) · 5-132 (Matthew Hurst, 15.0) · 6-161 (Chris Green, 18.0) · 7-172 (Jack Blatherwick, 18.5) · 8-173 (Luke Wood, 19.2) · 9-174 (Jos Buttler, 19.4) · 10-174 (James Anderson, 19.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 10/0 |
| 2 | 8 | 18/0 |
| 3 | 5 | 23/1 |
| 4 | 3 | 26/1 |
| 5 | 17 | 43/1 |
| 6 | 15 | 58/1 |
| 7 | 7 | 65/1 |
| 8 | 4 | 69/3 |
| 9 | 11 | 80/3 |
| 10 | 13 | 93/3 |
| 11 | 17 | 110/3 |
| 12 | 7 | 117/4 |
| 13 | 4 | 121/4 |
| 14 | 8 | 129/4 |
| 15 | 3 | 132/5 |
| 16 | 8 | 140/5 |
| 17 | 14 | 154/5 |
| 18 | 7 | 161/6 |
| 19 | 11 | 172/7 |
| 20 | 2 | 174/10 |
Luke Wood: Dave Morton · Public domain
Chris Green: Servite et contribuere · CC0
William Luxton: Dave Morton · Public domain
James Anderson: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Will Sutherland: @evermorestation on Twitter · CC BY-SA 4.0
Dan Moriarty: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jos Buttler: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Abdullah Shafique: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matt Milnes: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Dawid Malan: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Philip Salt: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jordan Thompson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jonny Bairstow: Mcadge · CC BY-SA 4.0
Dominic Bess: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ashton Turner: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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