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Photo: RIDHVAN SHARMA
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
India tour of Zimbabwe · 2024 · Men
7 Jul 2024 · T20
Harare Sports Club · Venue photographRecorded result
India more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
India started on 71%; India batted first.
India's chances ranged from 64% to 100% during the match (Zimbabwe: 0% to 36%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Innocent Kaiabowled · Mukesh Kumar 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Mukesh Kumar | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 133.33 |
| Wesley Madheverebowled · Ravi Bishnoi 3 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Ravi Bishnoi | 43 | 39 | 3 | 1 | 110.26 |
| Brian Bennettbowled · Mukesh Kumar 1 fours · 3 sixes | bowled · b Mukesh Kumar | 26 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 288.89 |
| Dion Myerscaught · Rinku Singh · Avesh Khan 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Rinku Singh · b Avesh Khan | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Dhruv Jurel · b Avesh Khan | 4 |
| 4 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 100.00 |
0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ravi Bishnoi · b Washington Sundar | 10 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 55.56 |
|---|
0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Ravi Bishnoi | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Wellington Masakadzarun out · Dhruv Jurel · Washington Sundar 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Dhruv Jurel | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Luke Jongwecaught · Ruturaj Gaikwad · Mukesh Kumar 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ruturaj Gaikwad · b Mukesh Kumar | 33 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 126.92 |
|---|
| Blessing Muzarabanicaught · Washington Sundar · Avesh Khan 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Washington Sundar · b Avesh Khan | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Tendai Chataranot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 8 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mukesh Kumar0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.4 | 0 | 37 | 3 | 10.09 | 1 | 1 |
| Abhishek Sharma0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 36 | 0 | 12.00 | 5 | 0 |
| Avesh Khan0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 15 | 3 | 5.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Ravi Bishnoi0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 2.75 | 0 | 0 |
| 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 | |
| Riyan Parag0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-4 (Innocent Kaia, 0.3) · 2-40 (Brian Bennett, 3.0) · 3-41 (Dion Myers, 3.2) · 4-46 (Sikandar Raza, 4.0) · 5-72 (Johnathan Campbell, 9.4) · 6-73 (Clive Madande, 10.3) · 7-76 (Wellington Masakadza, 11.1) · 8-117 (Wesley Madhevere, 16.3) · 9-123 (Blessing Muzarabani, 17.4) · 10-134 (Luke Jongwe, 18.4)
Recorded target: 235 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/1 |
| 2 | 19 | 24/1 |
| 3 | 16 | 40/2 |
| 4 | 6 | 46/4 |
| 5 | 6 | 52/4 |
| 6 | 6 | 58/4 |
| 7 | 1 | 59/4 |
| 8 | 8 | 67/4 |
| 9 | 2 | 69/4 |
| 10 | 3 | 72/5 |
| 11 | 4 | 76/6 |
| 12 | 7 | 83/7 |
| 13 | 8 | 91/7 |
| 14 | 5 | 96/7 |
| 15 | 9 | 105/7 |
| 16 | 10 | 115/7 |
| 17 | 4 | 119/8 |
| 18 | 4 | 123/9 |
| 19 | 11 | 134/10 |
Washington Sundar: Dee03 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Johnathan Campbell: Amuzujoe · CC BY-SA 4.0
Clive Madande: Amuzujoe · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sikandar Raza: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shubman Gill: Bollywood Hungama · CC BY 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.