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Australia tour of West Indies · 2025 · Men
12 Jul 2025 · Test
Sabina Park · Venue photographRecorded result
Australia more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 4
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Campbellcaught · JP Inglis · Mitchell Starc 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · JP Inglis · b Mitchell Starc | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Mikyle Louislbw · Mitchell Starc 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Mitchell Starc | 4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 40.00 |
| Kevlon Andersonlbw · Mitchell Starc 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Mitchell Starc | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Brandon Kingbowled · Mitchell Starc 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Mitchell Starc | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 |
| caught · JP Inglis · b Josh Hazlewood |
| 0 |
| 11 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
 Shai Hopelbw · Mitchell Starc0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Mitchell Starc | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Justin Greavescaught · Beau Webster · Scott Boland 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Beau Webster · b Scott Boland | 11 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 45.83 |
|---|
| Alzarri Josephnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 28 | 0 | 0 | 14.29 |
|---|
| Shamar Josephlbw · Scott Boland 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Scott Boland | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Jomel Warricanbowled · Scott Boland 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Scott Boland | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Jayden Sealesbowled · Mitchell Starc 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Mitchell Starc | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 6 · wides: 0 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mitchell Starc4 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.3 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 1.20 | 0 | 0 |
 Josh Hazlewood3 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 2.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Scott Boland1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-0 (John Campbell, 0.1) · 2-0 (Kevlon Anderson, 0.5) · 3-0 (Brandon King, 1.0) · 4-5 (Mikyle Louis, 4.1) · 5-7 (Shai Hope, 4.3) · 6-11 (Roston Chase, 5.2) · 7-26 (Justin Greaves, 13.1) · 8-26 (Shamar Joseph, 13.2) · 9-26 (Jomel Warrican, 13.3) · 10-27 (Jayden Seales, 14.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/3 |
| 2 | 5 | 5/3 |
| 3 | 0 | 5/3 |
| 4 | 0 | 5/3 |
| 5 | 6 | 11/5 |
| 6 | 1 | 12/6 |
| 7 | 0 | 12/6 |
| 8 | 6 | 18/6 |
| 9 | 0 | 18/6 |
| 10 | 4 | 22/6 |
| 11 | 1 | 23/6 |
| 12 | 2 | 25/6 |
| 13 | 1 | 26/6 |
| 14 | 0 | 26/9 |
| 15 | 1 | 27/10 |
Josh Hazlewood: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Beau Webster: Dave Morton · Public domain
Roston Chase: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Usman Khawaja: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Sam Konstas: WikiWanderer261 · CC0
Travis Head: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Steve Smith: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Pat Cummins: SirWellsy99 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Scott Boland: Neb · CC BY-SA 4.0
Alex Carey: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mitchell Starc: Dave Morton · Public domain
Shai Hope: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Cameron Green: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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