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Photo: Trentino Priori
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Big Bash League · 2024/25 · Men
20 Dec 2024 · T20
Adelaide Oval · Venue photographRecorded result
Adelaide Strikers started on 58%; Adelaide Strikers batted first.
Adelaide Strikers's chances ranged from 40% to 100% during the match (Melbourne Stars: 0% to 60%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Harperbowled · Lloyd Pope 5 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Lloyd Pope | 48 | 44 | 5 | 1 | 109.09 |
 Ben Duckettlbw · Matthew Short0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Matthew Short | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Marcus Stoinisbowled · Cameron Boyce4 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Cameron Boyce | 27 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 142.11 |
 Glenn Maxwelllbw · Henry Thornton0 fours · 2 sixes | lbw · b Henry Thornton | 15 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 300.00 |
| Tom Rogersbowled · Matthew Short 0 fours · 0 sixes |
|---|
| bowled · b Matthew Short |
| 2 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 66.67 |
| Hilton Cartwrightbowled · Lloyd Pope 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Lloyd Pope | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 44.44 |
|---|
 Beau Webstercaught · Ollie Pope · Jamie Overton0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ollie Pope · b Jamie Overton | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
|---|
 Tom Currancaught · Alex Ross · Jamie Overton4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Alex Ross · b Jamie Overton | 25 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 113.64 |
|---|
| Adam Milnecaught · Jamie Overton · Lloyd Pope 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jamie Overton · b Lloyd Pope | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
| Doug Warrennot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
 Peter Siddlenot out2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 12* | 5 | 2 | 0 | 240.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Short0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 23 | 2 | 7.67 | 1 | 0 |
| Henry Thornton0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Jamie Overton0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 44 | 2 | 11.00 | 3 | 0 |
| Liam Scott0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 11.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Cameron Boyce0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 7.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Lloyd Pope0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 3 | 5.25 | 0 | 0 |
1-1 (Ben Duckett, 0.3) · 2-45 (Marcus Stoinis, 5.1) · 3-62 (Glenn Maxwell, 6.3) · 4-72 (Tom Rogers, 8.3) · 5-85 (Hilton Cartwright, 11.4) · 6-105 (Beau Webster, 13.5) · 7-112 (Sam Harper, 15.2) · 8-126 (Adam Milne, 17.3) · 9-137 (Tom Curran, 19.0)
Recorded target: 166 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/1 |
| 2 | 6 | 13/1 |
| 3 | 18 | 31/1 |
| 4 | 2 | 33/1 |
| 5 | 12 | 45/1 |
| 6 | 14 | 59/2 |
| 7 | 5 | 64/3 |
| 8 | 6 | 70/3 |
| 9 | 3 | 73/4 |
| 10 | 6 | 79/4 |
| 11 | 3 | 82/4 |
| 12 | 4 | 86/5 |
| 13 | 8 | 94/5 |
| 14 | 12 | 106/6 |
| 15 | 5 | 111/6 |
| 16 | 5 | 116/7 |
| 17 | 9 | 125/7 |
| 18 | 6 | 131/8 |
| 19 | 6 | 137/9 |
| 20 | 13 | 150/9 |
Beau Webster: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Pope: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Duckett: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jamie Overton: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
D'Arcy Short: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
James Bazley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Marcus Stoinis: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Tom Curran: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Peter Siddle: PrivateMusings · CC BY-SA 2.5
Glenn Maxwell: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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