Hong KongversusOman

5 Jun 2026 · T20

Recorded result

Hong Kong won by 154 runs

Hong Kong20.0 overs287/1 Oman20.0 overs133/8 Singapore National Cricket Ground ↗

Win chances before this match

Before the toss

Oman more likely to win

41%Hong Kong59%Oman

Why

In the last 8 T20 internationals between these sides, Oman won 7 and Hong Kong won 1
On results in T20 internationals so far, Hong Kong rate stronger than Oman (1,566 vs 1,535 on our results rating)

Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Hong Kong started on 38%; Hong Kong batted first.

Hong Kong’s chance of winning (%) · Oman is the rest

Hong Kong's chances ranged from 38% to 100% during the match (Oman: 0% to 62%).

Biggest swings

0.3: Shuaib Al Balushi to Anshuman Rath, four by Anshuman Rath. Hong Kong up from 38% to 42%.
5.4: Zubair Al Balushi to Nizakat Khan, six by Nizakat Khan. Hong Kong up from 58% to 63%.
7.2: Sameer Othman to Anshuman Rath, six by Anshuman Rath. Hong Kong up from 70% to 74%.

Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Hong Kong287/1 Oman133/8

Innings 2

Oman

133/820.0 overs

Batting, bowling & fall of wickets

Oman batting
Batter	Dismissal	R	B	4s	6s	SR
Mohammed Al Balushibowled · Nasrulla Rana 1 fours · 1 sixes	bowled · b Nasrulla Rana	12	14	1	1	85.71
Shuaib Al Balushibowled · Hassan Khan Mohammad 0 fours · 1 sixes	bowled · b Hassan Khan Mohammad	6	5	0	1	120.00
Muzaffar Shiralkarcaught · Hafeez Khan · Nasrulla Rana 6 fours · 1 sixes	caught · Hafeez Khan · b Nasrulla Rana	36	26	6	1	138.46
Zubair Al Balushibowled · Ehsan Khan 5 fours · 2 sixes	bowled · b Ehsan Khan	40	23	5	2	173.91
Issa Al Balushicaught · Hafeez Khan · Mohammad Ghazanfar 0 fours · 1 sixes	caught · Hafeez Khan · b Mohammad Ghazanfar	10	9	0	1	111.11

Bowler	Overs	M	R	W	Runs / 6 balls	WD
Ayush Shukla0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	3.0	0	13	0	4.33	0
Hassan Khan Mohammad0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	2.0	0	22	1	11.00	0
Yasim Murtaza0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	3.0	0	30	0	10.00	0
Nasrulla Rana0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	3.0	0	20	2	6.67	0
Mohammad Ghazanfar1 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	1	30	1	7.50	2
Ehsan Khan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	0	12	4	3.00	0
Babar Hayat0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	1.0	0	5	0	5.00	0

Over / set	Runs	Score
1	10	10/0
2	6	16/1
3	2	18/1
4	16	34/1
5	2	36/1
6	9	45/1
7	5	50/2
8	13	63/2
9	5	68/3
10	11	79/3
11	10	89/3
12	0	89/4
13	6	95/4
14	16	111/4
15	1	112/7
16	3	115/7
17	1	116/8
18	8	124/8
19	4	128/8
20	5	133/8

Bringing the game to you…

Help make cricket’s story more accurate.