Brisbane HeatversusSydney Sixers

30 Oct 2026 · T20

Allan Border Field, Brisbane · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Sydney Sixers won by 4 wickets

Brisbane Heat20.0 overs154/5 Sydney Sixers20.0 overs157/6 Allan Border Field, Brisbane ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Brisbane Heat started on 43%; Brisbane Heat batted first.

Brisbane Heat’s chance of winning (%) · Sydney Sixers is the rest

Brisbane Heat's chances ranged from 6% to 69% during the match (Sydney Sixers: 31% to 94%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 15.6: CR Knott to A Capsey, four by A Capsey. Sydney Sixers up from 70% to 85%.
2nd inns 17.1: CR Knott to E Ragg, E Ragg out. Brisbane Heat up from 18% to 32%.
2nd inns 19.6: LK Hamilton to SJ Coyte, four by SJ Coyte. Sydney Sixers up from 71% to 100%.

Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Match highlights

All highlights →

1–1 of 1

Brisbane Heat v Sydney Sixers Highlights | WBBL|12 | Fox Cricket

Fox Cricket · Uploaded 2026-10-30

Brisbane Heat154/5 Sydney Sixers157/6

Innings 2

Sydney Sixers

157/620.0 overs

Batting, bowling & fall of wickets

Sydney Sixers batting
Batter	Dismissal	R	B	4s	6s	SR
Ellyse Perrycaught · A Kato-Stafford · Charli Knott 7 fours · 1 sixes	caught · A Kato-Stafford · b Charli Knott	58	38	7	1	152.63
Sophia Dunkleycaught · Orla Prendergast · Sianna Ginger 6 fours · 0 sixes	caught · Orla Prendergast · b Sianna Ginger	37	26	6	0	142.31
Amelia Kerrbowled · Sianna Ginger 2 fours · 0 sixes	bowled · b Sianna Ginger	18	20	2	0	90.00
Ashleigh Gardner

Bowler	Overs	R	W	Runs / 6 balls	WD
Lucy Hamilton0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	38	0	9.50	1
Lily Bassingthwaighte0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	2.0	15	0	7.50	0
Orla Prendergast0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	2.0	19	0	9.50	0
Sarah Glenn0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	16	1	4.00	0
A Kato-Stafford0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	1.0	12	0	12.00	0
Sianna Ginger0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	31	2	7.75	0
Charli Knott0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	3.0	25	2	8.33	0

Over / set	Runs	Score
1	9	9/0
2	4	13/0
3	13	26/0
4	11	37/0
5	4	41/0
6	12	53/0
7	2	55/1
8	2	57/1
9	8	65/1
10	8	73/1
11	5	78/1
12	6	84/1
13	18	102/1
14	12	114/2
15	3	117/3
16	6	123/4
17	7	130/4
18	11	141/5
19	9	150/5
20	7	157/6

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