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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier · 2024 · Men
11 Jul 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Germany more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Norway started on 37%; Norway batted first.
Norway's chances ranged from 24% to 100% during the match (Germany: 1% to 76%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B Kohler-Cadmorecaught · Raza Iqbal · Qamar Mushtaque 1 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Raza Iqbal · b Qamar Mushtaque | 21 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 140.00 |
| V Ganesancaught · Raza Iqbal · Wahidullah Sahak 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Raza Iqbal · b Wahidullah Sahak | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Musadiq Ahmedcaught · Javed Maroofkhail · Sher Sahak 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Javed Maroofkhail · b Sher Sahak | 15 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 214.29 |
| Faisal Mubashirrun out · Mandeep Singh (2) · Raza Iqbal 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Mandeep Singh (2) | 4 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 30.77 |
| Harmanjot Singhbowled · Sher Sahak 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Sher Sahak | 26 | 30 | 2 | 0 | 86.67 |
| Sachin Mandycaught · Sher Sahak · AJ Parmar 0 fours · 1 sixes |
|---|
| caught · Sher Sahak · b AJ Parmar |
| 7 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 233.33 |
| Fayaz Khanbowled · Vinay Ravi 4 fours · 6 sixes | bowled · b Vinay Ravi | 64 | 35 | 4 | 6 | 182.86 |
|---|
| Muslim Yarcaught · Walid Ghauri · Sher Sahak 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Walid Ghauri · b Sher Sahak | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 116.67 |
|---|
| Sajid Liaqatbowled · Qamar Mushtaque 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Qamar Mushtaque | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
|---|
| Zahid Zadrancaught and bowled · Qamar Mushtaque 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Qamar Mushtaque | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Ghulam Ahmadinot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 2 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vinay Ravi0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.3 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 8.80 | 0 | 0 |
| Wahidullah Sahak0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 32 | 1 | 16.00 | 0 | 1 |
| Sher Sahak0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 18 | 3 | 4.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Qamar Mushtaque0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 19 | 3 | 4.75 | 1 | 0 |
| Raza Iqbal0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 39 | 0 | 9.75 | 0 | 0 |
| AJ Parmar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 6.67 | 0 | 0 |
1-6 (V Ganesan, 1.1) · 2-34 (Musadiq Ahmed, 3.3) · 3-36 (B Kohler-Cadmore, 4.2) · 4-52 (Faisal Mubashir, 8.1) · 5-62 (Sachin Mandy, 9.2) · 6-105 (Harmanjot Singh, 13.5) · 7-120 (Muslim Yar, 15.3) · 8-123 (Sajid Liaqat, 16.3) · 9-125 (Zahid Zadran, 16.5) · 10-151 (Fayaz Khan, 19.3)
Recorded target: 163 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 14 | 20/1 |
| 3 | 12 | 32/1 |
| 4 | 2 | 34/2 |
| 5 | 5 | 39/3 |
| 6 | 5 | 44/3 |
| 7 | 5 | 49/3 |
| 8 | 3 | 52/3 |
| 9 | 9 | 61/4 |
| 10 | 9 | 70/5 |
| 11 | 7 | 77/5 |
| 12 | 8 | 85/5 |
| 13 | 18 | 103/5 |
| 14 | 3 | 106/6 |
| 15 | 8 | 114/6 |
| 16 | 8 | 122/7 |
| 17 | 3 | 125/9 |
| 18 | 18 | 143/9 |
| 19 | 4 | 147/9 |
| 20 | 4 | 151/10 |
Khizer Ahmed: Khizer22 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
