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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Sub Regional Americas Qualifier · 2024/25 · Men
16 Dec 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Bermuda more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Bermuda started on 78%; Bermuda batted first.
Bermuda's chances ranged from 73% to 100% during the match (Cayman Islands: 0% to 27%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terryn Fraybowled · Alistair Ifill 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Alistair Ifill | 32 | 35 | 1 | 0 | 91.43 |
| Tre Mandersbowled · D Johnson 1 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b D Johnson | 11 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 183.33 |
| AD Dorecaught · Conroy Wright · Alistair Ifill 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Conroy Wright · b Alistair Ifill | 8 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 57.14 |
| Onais Bascomerun out · Conroy Wright, D Johnson · D Johnson 2 fours · 1 sixes | run out · Conroy Wright, D Johnson | 42 | 35 | 2 | 1 | 120.00 |
| Dion Stovellcaught · J Baker · Ronald Ebanks 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · J Baker · b Ronald Ebanks | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 62.50 |
| caught · Sacha De Alwis · b Alessandro Morris |
| 20 |
| 14 |
| 1 |
| 1 |
| 142.86 |
| Zeko Burgessnot out 0 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 14* | 9 | 0 | 1 | 155.56 |
|---|
| Jonte Smithnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 3 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conroy Wright0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 6.00 | 2 | 0 |
| ROC Dunka0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 11.50 | 1 | 1 |
| D Johnson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 1 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Alessandro Morris0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 6.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Ronald Ebanks0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Alistair Ifill0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 2 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-24 (Tre Manders, 3.2) · 2-53 (AD Dore, 8.2) · 3-62 (Terryn Fray, 10.5) · 4-77 (Dion Stovell, 13.2) · 5-123 (D Sabir, 18.1) · 6-135 (Onais Bascome, 19.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 10 | 16/0 |
| 3 | 7 | 23/0 |
| 4 | 7 | 30/1 |
| 5 | 5 | 35/1 |
| 6 | 7 | 42/1 |
| 7 | 5 | 47/1 |
| 8 | 6 | 53/1 |
| 9 | 2 | 55/2 |
| 10 | 4 | 59/2 |
| 11 | 3 | 62/3 |
| 12 | 9 | 71/3 |
| 13 | 5 | 76/3 |
| 14 | 6 | 82/4 |
| 15 | 10 | 92/4 |
| 16 | 13 | 105/4 |
| 17 | 7 | 112/4 |
| 18 | 11 | 123/4 |
| 19 | 8 | 131/5 |
| 20 | 8 | 139/6 |
Ramon Sealy: BugWarp · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
