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Photo: Schumi555
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
6 Jul 2025 · T20
Queen's Park, Chesterfield · Venue photographRecorded result
Yorkshire started on 49%; Yorkshire batted first.
Yorkshire's chances ranged from 0% to 71% during the match (Derbyshire: 29% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 fours · 7 sixes | caught · James Wharton · b JA Chohan | 85 | 30 | 8 | 7 | 283.33 |
| Caleb Jewellcaught · William O’Rourke · Will Sutherland 4 fours · 1 sixes | caught · William O’Rourke · b Will Sutherland | 31 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 119.23 |
7 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 38* | 25 | 7 | 0 | 152.00 |
1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Dominic Bess · b William O’Rourke | 6 | 6 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 100.00 |
2 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 29* | 17 | 2 | 2 | 170.59 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 8 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.0 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 14.50 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3.0 | 0 | 46 | 0 | 15.33 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4.0 | 0 | 50 | 1 | 12.50 | 6 | 0 | |
| 3.0 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 5.33 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3.2 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 8.40 | 2 | 0 | |
| JA Chohan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 14.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-115 (Caleb Jewell, 8.5) · 2-125 (Aneurin Donald, 9.3) · 3-141 (Samit Patel, 11.4)
Recorded target: 201 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 20/0 |
| 2 | 25 | 45/0 |
| 3 | 15 | 60/0 |
| 4 | 5 | 65/0 |
| 5 | 6 | 71/0 |
| 6 | 19 | 90/0 |
| 7 | 5 | 95/0 |
| 8 | 14 | 109/0 |
| 9 | 6 | 115/1 |
| 10 | 14 | 129/2 |
| 11 | 6 | 135/2 |
| 12 | 12 | 147/3 |
| 13 | 11 | 158/3 |
| 14 | 7 | 165/3 |
| 15 | 15 | 180/3 |
| 16 | 5 | 185/3 |
| 17 | 6 | 191/3 |
| 18 | 10 | 201/3 |
Ross Whiteley: Dave Morton · Public domain
William Luxton: Dave Morton · Public domain
Aneurin Donald: Dave Morton · Public domain
Will Sutherland: @evermorestation on Twitter · CC BY-SA 4.0
Matt Milnes: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Dawid Malan: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Matt Revis: Dave Morton · Public domain
William O’Rourke: Dave Morton · Public domain
Harry Came: Dave Morton · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jordan Thompson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Samit Patel: Oliver Brown · CC BY-SA 3.0
Jonny Bairstow: Mcadge · CC BY-SA 4.0
Alex Thomson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Dominic Bess: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Wayne Madsen: Parklands cobbler · CC BY 3.0
Zak Chappell: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.