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Photo: Schumi555
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
6 Jul 2025 · T20
Queen's Park, Chesterfield · Venue photographRecorded result
Yorkshire started on 49%; Yorkshire batted first.
Yorkshire's chances ranged from 0% to 71% during the match (Derbyshire: 29% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jonny Bairstowcaught · Aneurin Donald · Zak Chappell4 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Aneurin Donald · b Zak Chappell | 29 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 152.63 |
 Dawid Malanbowled · Allah Mohammad Ghazanfar1 fours · 2 sixes | bowled · b Allah Mohammad Ghazanfar | 22 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 129.41 |
 William Luxtoncaught · Harry Came · Samit Patel1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Harry Came · b Samit Patel | 14 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 87.50 |
| James Whartoncaught · Harry Came · Allah Mohammad Ghazanfar 1 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Harry Came · b Allah Mohammad Ghazanfar |
| 33 |
| 23 |
| 1 |
| 3 |
| 143.48 |
 Matt Reviscaught · Harry Came · Patrick Brown2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Harry Came · b Patrick Brown | 26 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 123.81 |
|---|
 Will Sutherlandcaught · Ross Whiteley · Patrick Brown2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Ross Whiteley · b Patrick Brown | 17 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 170.00 |
|---|
 Jordan Thompsonnot out2 fours · 4 sixes | not out | 37* | 11 | 2 | 4 | 336.36 |
|---|
 Dominic Bessnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 12 · wides: 7 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Alex Thomson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Allah Mohammad Ghazanfar0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 2 | 5.25 | 3 | 0 |
 Zak Chappell0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 64 | 1 | 16.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Patrick Brown0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 37 | 2 | 9.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Martin Andersson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 8.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Samit Patel0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 7.75 | 2 | 0 |
1-48 (Dawid Malan, 5.1) · 2-61 (Jonny Bairstow, 6.5) · 3-94 (William Luxton, 10.3) · 4-125 (James Wharton, 14.5) · 5-149 (Matt Revis, 17.0) · 6-171 (Will Sutherland, 18.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 11/0 |
| 3 | 13 | 24/0 |
| 4 | 9 | 33/0 |
| 5 | 15 | 48/0 |
| 6 | 3 | 51/1 |
| 7 | 10 | 61/2 |
| 8 | 5 | 66/2 |
| 9 | 5 | 71/2 |
| 10 | 17 | 88/2 |
| 11 | 6 | 94/3 |
| 12 | 4 | 98/3 |
| 13 | 10 | 108/3 |
| 14 | 9 | 117/3 |
| 15 | 8 | 125/4 |
| 16 | 11 | 136/4 |
| 17 | 13 | 149/5 |
| 18 | 22 | 171/5 |
| 19 | 5 | 176/6 |
| 20 | 24 | 200/6 |
Ross Whiteley: Dave Morton · Public domain
William Luxton: Dave Morton · Public domain
Aneurin Donald: Dave Morton · Public domain
Will Sutherland: @evermorestation on Twitter · CC BY-SA 4.0
Matt Milnes: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Dawid Malan: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Matt Revis: Dave Morton · Public domain
William O’Rourke: Dave Morton · Public domain
Harry Came: Dave Morton · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jordan Thompson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Samit Patel: Oliver Brown · CC BY-SA 3.0
Jonny Bairstow: Mcadge · CC BY-SA 4.0
Alex Thomson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Dominic Bess: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Wayne Madsen: Parklands cobbler · CC BY 3.0
Zak Chappell: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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