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Photo: Mat Fascione
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
19 Jun 2025 · T20
Grace Road, Leicester · Venue photographRecorded result
Nottinghamshire started on 43%; Nottinghamshire batted first.
Nottinghamshire's chances ranged from 0% to 60% during the match (Leicestershire: 40% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rishi Patelcaught · Dillon Pennington · Matthew Montgomery 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Dillon Pennington · b Matthew Montgomery | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 116.67 |
| Sol Budingercaught · Calvin Harrison · Daniel Sams 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Calvin Harrison · b Daniel Sams | 22 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 183.33 |
 Shan Masoodbowled · Calvin Harrison3 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Calvin Harrison | 27 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 122.73 |
 Rehan Ahmedcaught · Lyndon James · Calvin Harrison6 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Lyndon James · b Calvin Harrison | 52 | 37 | 6 | 2 | 140.54 |
| caught · Calvin Harrison · b Liam Patterson-White |
| 35 |
| 15 |
| 2 |
| 3 |
| 233.33 |
 Ben Coxcaught · Calvin Harrison · Matthew Montgomery0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Calvin Harrison · b Matthew Montgomery | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Logan van Beeknot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 7* | 6 | 1 | 0 | 116.67 |
|---|
 Ben Mikenot out1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 2 | 1 | 0 | 200.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Pennington0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 11.33 | 1 | 0 |
| Farhan Ahmed0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 8.50 | 1 | 0 |
 Daniel Sams0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 7.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Matthew Montgomery0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.4 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 4.20 | 0 | 0 |
| Liam Patterson-White0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 36 | 1 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Calvin Harrison0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 42 | 2 | 10.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-25 (Sol Budinger, 2.3) · 2-31 (Rishi Patel, 3.5) · 3-70 (Shan Masood, 8.2) · 4-139 (Louis Kimber, 14.5) · 5-147 (Rehan Ahmed, 15.4) · 6-156 (Ben Cox, 17.2)
Recorded target: 157 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 10/0 |
| 2 | 7 | 17/0 |
| 3 | 13 | 30/1 |
| 4 | 2 | 32/2 |
| 5 | 13 | 45/2 |
| 6 | 5 | 50/2 |
| 7 | 10 | 60/2 |
| 8 | 10 | 70/2 |
| 9 | 6 | 76/3 |
| 10 | 13 | 89/3 |
| 11 | 12 | 101/3 |
| 12 | 5 | 106/3 |
| 13 | 16 | 122/3 |
| 14 | 11 | 133/3 |
| 15 | 6 | 139/4 |
| 16 | 8 | 147/5 |
| 17 | 8 | 155/5 |
| 18 | 5 | 160/6 |
Ben Mike: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ben Cox: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Tom Moores: Dave Morton · Public domain
Rehan Ahmed: Dave Morton · Public domain
Shan Masood: Balochistan Social News · CC BY 3.0
Daniel Sams: Neb · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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