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Photo: Barry Dogger
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
12 Jul 2026 · T20
County Ground, Bristol · Venue photographRecorded result
Glamorgan started on 39%; Glamorgan batted first.
Glamorgan's chances ranged from 38% to 100% during the match (Gloucestershire: 0% to 62%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 D'Arcy Shortcaught · Kiran Carlson · Nathan McAndrew6 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Kiran Carlson · b Nathan McAndrew | 35 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 184.21 |
 Dawid Malanbowled · Daniel Douthwaite5 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Daniel Douthwaite | 39 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 144.44 |
 Miles Hammondcaught · Daniel Douthwaite · Mason Crane1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Daniel Douthwaite · b Mason Crane | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 125.00 |
| Jack Taylorcaught · Chris Cooke · Mason Crane 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Chris Cooke · b Mason Crane |
| 18 |
| 9 |
| 2 |
| 1 |
| 200.00 |
| KS Dhariwalcaught · Kiran Carlson · Andy Gorvin 1 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Kiran Carlson · b Andy Gorvin | 27 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 180.00 |
|---|
 James Braceycaught · Asa Tribe · BI Kellaway2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Asa Tribe · b BI Kellaway | 22 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 183.33 |
|---|
 Graeme van Buurencaught · Chris Cooke · James Neesham2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Chris Cooke · b James Neesham | 28 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 155.56 |
|---|
| Liam Scottcaught and bowled · BI Kellaway 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b BI Kellaway | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
 Matt Taylorbowled · Daniel Douthwaite0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Daniel Douthwaite | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 85.71 |
|---|
 Marchant de Langerun out · William Smale · Andy Gorvin0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · William Smale | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| James Hayesnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 2 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BI Kellaway0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 2 | 7.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Nathan McAndrew0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 12.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Daniel Douthwaite0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 2 | 8.00 | 1 | 0 |
| James Neesham0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 1.1 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 13.71 | 0 | 1 |
 Mason Crane0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 46 | 2 | 11.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Andy Gorvin0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 35 | 1 | 8.75 | 1 | 0 |
1-63 (D'Arcy Short, 5.4) · 2-70 (Miles Hammond, 6.4) · 3-96 (Jack Taylor, 9.0) · 4-104 (Dawid Malan, 10.0) · 5-148 (James Bracey, 14.0) · 6-148 (KS Dhariwal, 14.1) · 7-154 (Liam Scott, 15.2) · 8-174 (Matt Taylor, 18.0) · 9-180 (Marchant de Lange, 18.2) · 10-185 (Graeme van Buuren, 19.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/0 |
| 2 | 16 | 23/0 |
| 3 | 15 | 38/0 |
| 4 | 4 | 42/0 |
| 5 | 16 | 58/0 |
| 6 | 9 | 67/1 |
| 7 | 4 | 71/2 |
| 8 | 12 | 83/2 |
| 9 | 13 | 96/3 |
| 10 | 8 | 104/4 |
| 11 | 11 | 115/4 |
| 12 | 11 | 126/4 |
| 13 | 18 | 144/4 |
| 14 | 4 | 148/5 |
| 15 | 5 | 153/6 |
| 16 | 5 | 158/7 |
| 17 | 7 | 165/7 |
| 18 | 9 | 174/8 |
| 19 | 11 | 185/9 |
| 20 | 0 | 185/10 |
Mason Crane: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Kiran Carlson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Marchant de Lange: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Sean Dickson: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chris Cooke: Dave Morton · Public domain
D'Arcy Short: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
James Bracey: Dave Morton · Public domain
Dawid Malan: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Graeme van Buuren: Dave Morton · Public domain
Miles Hammond: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matt Taylor: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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