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Quadrangular Twenty20 Series (Malaysia) · 2025 · Men
26 Apr 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Saudi Arabia more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Saudi Arabia started on 58%; Saudi Arabia batted first.
Saudi Arabia's chances ranged from 19% to 95% during the match (Malaysia: 5% to 81%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Syed Azizrun out · Syed Faizan Tahir, Hisham Sheikh · Hisham Sheikh 4 fours · 1 sixes | run out · Syed Faizan Tahir, Hisham Sheikh | 27 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 168.75 |
| Aslam Khancaught · Zain Ul Abidin · Ishtiaq Ahmad 2 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Zain Ul Abidin · b Ishtiaq Ahmad | 22 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 200.00 |
| Virandeep Singhnot out 8 fours · 4 sixes | not out | 93* | 57 | 8 | 4 | 163.16 |
| Ahmed Faizcaught · Usman Najeeb · Zain Ul Abidin 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Usman Najeeb · b Zain Ul Abidin | 14 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 93.33 |
| Ahmed Aqeelcaught · Usman Khalid · Waji Ul Hassan 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Usman Khalid · b Waji Ul Hassan | 16 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 114.29 |
| bowled · b Waji Ul Hassan |
| 1 |
| 4 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 25.00 |
| Vijay Unninot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 3 | 1 | 0 | 166.67 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 3 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ishtiaq Ahmad0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.5 | 0 | 36 | 1 | 9.39 | 0 | 1 |
| Ghayour Ahmad0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 21.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Usman Najeeb0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 45 | 0 | 11.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Hisham Sheikh0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 7.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Usman Khalid0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 8.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Zain Ul Abidin0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Waji Ul Hassan0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 21 | 2 | 7.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-33 (Aslam Khan, 2.5) · 2-65 (Syed Aziz, 6.1) · 3-99 (Ahmed Faiz, 11.2) · 4-137 (Ahmed Aqeel, 16.0) · 5-145 (Sharvin Muniandy, 17.1)
Recorded target: 183 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 21 | 27/0 |
| 3 | 6 | 33/1 |
| 4 | 14 | 47/1 |
| 5 | 7 | 54/1 |
| 6 | 10 | 64/1 |
| 7 | 4 | 68/2 |
| 8 | 7 | 75/2 |
| 9 | 4 | 79/2 |
| 10 | 5 | 84/2 |
| 11 | 14 | 98/2 |
| 12 | 8 | 106/3 |
| 13 | 9 | 115/3 |
| 14 | 8 | 123/3 |
| 15 | 9 | 132/3 |
| 16 | 5 | 137/4 |
| 17 | 8 | 145/4 |
| 18 | 8 | 153/5 |
| 19 | 15 | 168/5 |
| 20 | 15 | 183/5 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.