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Photo: John Sutton
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
12 Jul 2026 · T20
County Ground, Northampton · Venue photographRecorded result
Northamptonshire started on 58%; Northamptonshire batted first.
Northamptonshire's chances ranged from 0% to 91% during the match (Warwickshire: 9% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z Malikcaught · Lewis McManus · Ben Sanderson 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Lewis McManus · b Ben Sanderson | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
| VL Janicaught · David Willey · George Scrimshaw 3 fours · 2 sixes | caught · David Willey · b George Scrimshaw | 26 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 216.67 |
0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · David Willey · b George Scrimshaw | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 37.50 |
| Sam Hainnot out 2 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 48* | 37 | 2 | 1 | 129.73 |
| Dan Mousleycaught · Louis Kimber · Luke Procter 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Louis Kimber · b Luke Procter |
| 1 |
| 4 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 25.00 |
| Hamza Shaikhbowled · George Scrimshaw 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b George Scrimshaw | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Kai Smithnot out 10 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 65* | 40 | 10 | 1 | 162.50 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.0 | 0 | 47 | 0 | 11.75 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3.2 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 6.90 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4.0 | 0 | 36 | 3 | 9.00 | 2 | 0 | |
| 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 6.25 | 1 | 0 | |
| Calvin Harrison0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 6.33 | 0 | 0 |
1-17 (Z Malik, 1.1) · 2-30 (VL Jani, 3.0) · 3-42 (Beau Webster, 4.4) · 4-43 (Dan Mousley, 5.2) · 5-49 (Hamza Shaikh, 7.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 17/0 |
| 2 | 8 | 25/1 |
| 3 | 5 | 30/2 |
| 4 | 4 | 34/2 |
| 5 | 9 | 43/3 |
| 6 | 3 | 46/4 |
| 7 | 3 | 49/5 |
| 8 | 7 | 56/5 |
| 9 | 6 | 62/5 |
| 10 | 3 | 65/5 |
| 11 | 7 | 72/5 |
| 12 | 12 | 84/5 |
| 13 | 6 | 90/5 |
| 14 | 12 | 102/5 |
| 15 | 19 | 121/5 |
| 16 | 9 | 130/5 |
| 17 | 7 | 137/5 |
| 18 | 13 | 150/5 |
| 19 | 4 | 154/5 |
Beau Webster: Dave Morton · Public domain
George Scrimshaw: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ben Sanderson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Richard Gleeson: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Luke Procter: Dave Morton · Public domain
David Willey: Whatisthefrequencykenneth · CC BY 3.0
Chris Woakes: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jordan Thompson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Chris Lynn: Haley Jackson · CC BY 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.