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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier Group C · 2024 · Men
27 Aug 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Denmark more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Denmark started on 64%; Denmark batted first.
Denmark's chances ranged from 65% to 100% during the match (Cyprus: 0% to 36%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S Burdekincaught · Taranjit Bharaj · Oliver Hald 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Taranjit Bharaj · b Oliver Hald | 12 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 66.67 |
| R Mazumderbowled · Toqeer Ahmad 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Toqeer Ahmad | 8 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 72.73 |
| J Chialoufaslbw · Oliver Hald 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Oliver Hald | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| S Austincaught · Taranjit Bharaj · Toqeer Ahmad 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Taranjit Bharaj · b Toqeer Ahmad | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
| CPPM Sadunrun out · Taranjit Bharaj, Oliver Hald · Saif Ahmad 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Taranjit Bharaj, Oliver Hald | 8 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 61.54 |
| caught · Delawar Khan · b Oliver Hald |
| 0 |
| 4 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| SN Pathirananot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 16* | 31 | 0 | 0 | 51.61 |
|---|
| Taranjit Singhcaught · Nicolaj Damgaard · Surya Anand 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nicolaj Damgaard · b Surya Anand | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
| R Siriwardenabowled · Eshan Karimi 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Eshan Karimi | 5 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 29.41 |
|---|
| A Shahibowled · Delawar Khan 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Delawar Khan | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 200.00 |
|---|
| V Khandurinot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 7 | 0 | 0 | 42.86 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 0 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolaj Damgaard0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 2.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Toqeer Ahmad2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 2.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Oliver Hald0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Saif Ahmad0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Surya Anand0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 3.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Eshan Karimi0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 2.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Delawar Khan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 3.67 | 0 | 0 |
1-16 (R Mazumder, 4.0) · 2-22 (S Burdekin, 4.5) · 3-23 (J Chialoufas, 6.3) · 4-23 (S Austin, 7.3) · 5-24 (MPGT Ketiyage, 8.2) · 6-37 (CPPM Sadun, 11.3) · 7-42 (Taranjit Singh, 12.4) · 8-53 (R Siriwardena, 18.0) · 9-58 (A Shahi, 18.3)
Recorded target: 206 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 7/0 |
| 3 | 1 | 8/0 |
| 4 | 8 | 16/1 |
| 5 | 6 | 22/2 |
| 6 | 0 | 22/2 |
| 7 | 1 | 23/3 |
| 8 | 0 | 23/4 |
| 9 | 5 | 28/5 |
| 10 | 2 | 30/5 |
| 11 | 4 | 34/5 |
| 12 | 4 | 38/6 |
| 13 | 4 | 42/7 |
| 14 | 1 | 43/7 |
| 15 | 2 | 45/7 |
| 16 | 4 | 49/7 |
| 17 | 2 | 51/7 |
| 18 | 2 | 53/8 |
| 19 | 7 | 60/9 |
| 20 | 3 | 63/9 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.