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Sweden tour of Indonesia · 2026 · Men
9 Apr 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Sweden more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Sweden started on 54%; Sweden batted first.
Sweden's chances ranged from 55% to 100% during the match (Indonesia: 0% to 45%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gede Priandanabowled · Sedik Sahak 5 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Sedik Sahak | 50 | 38 | 5 | 1 | 131.58 |
| Gaurav Tiwaricaught · Zaid Ahmad · Zain Muzaffar 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Zaid Ahmad · b Zain Muzaffar | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 300.00 |
| Kavin Chaddhacaught · A Mundra · Zain Muzaffar 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · A Mundra · b Zain Muzaffar | 19 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 105.56 |
| Kadek Gamantikacaught · YS Chauhan · SN Swamy 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · YS Chauhan · b SN Swamy | 24 | 21 | 1 | 1 | 114.29 |
| Sudhakar Jegannathancaught · A Dhabe · SN Swamy 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · A Dhabe · b SN Swamy | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| run out · A Mundra, Zain Muzaffar |
| 5 |
| 4 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 125.00 |
| Danilson Hawoecaught · Awais Ahmad · SN Swamy 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Awais Ahmad · b SN Swamy | 5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 55.56 |
|---|
| Ketut Artawanbowled · Zain Muzaffar 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Zain Muzaffar | 7 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 70.00 |
|---|
| Anjar Tadaruscaught · Imal Zuwak · Sedik Sahak 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Imal Zuwak · b Sedik Sahak | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
| F Banunaeknot out 0 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 21* | 9 | 0 | 2 | 233.33 |
|---|
| Dewa Wiswinot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 2 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 5 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zain Muzaffar0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 36 | 3 | 9.00 | 3 | 0 |
| Zabiullah Zahid0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 5.75 | 0 | 0 |
| A Dhabe0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 10.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Sedik Sahak0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 2 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
| SN Swamy0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 3 | 6.25 | 0 | 0 |
| DB Lakhani0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 13.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-11 (Gaurav Tiwari, 0.5) · 2-56 (Kavin Chaddha, 7.1) · 3-94 (Gede Priandana, 11.5) · 4-95 (Sudhakar Jegannathan, 12.1) · 5-100 (Gede Arta, 12.5) · 6-115 (Kadek Gamantika, 14.5) · 7-124 (Danilson Hawoe, 17.0) · 8-129 (Ketut Artawan, 17.4) · 9-137 (Anjar Tadarus, 18.2)
Recorded target: 165 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 11/1 |
| 2 | 5 | 16/1 |
| 3 | 7 | 23/1 |
| 4 | 9 | 32/1 |
| 5 | 12 | 44/1 |
| 6 | 6 | 50/1 |
| 7 | 6 | 56/1 |
| 8 | 7 | 63/2 |
| 9 | 9 | 72/2 |
| 10 | 4 | 76/2 |
| 11 | 11 | 87/2 |
| 12 | 8 | 95/3 |
| 13 | 5 | 100/5 |
| 14 | 9 | 109/5 |
| 15 | 6 | 115/6 |
| 16 | 4 | 119/6 |
| 17 | 5 | 124/7 |
| 18 | 13 | 137/8 |
| 19 | 4 | 141/9 |
| 20 | 13 | 154/9 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.