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England tour of India · 2023/24 · Men
2 Feb 2024 · Test
Dr. Y.S. Rajasekhara Reddy ACA-VDCA Cricket Stadium, Visakhapatnam · Venue photographIndia more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 3
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Yashasvi Jaiswalcaught · Joe Root · James Anderson3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Joe Root · b James Anderson | 17 | 27 | 3 | 0 | 62.96 |
 Rohit Sharmabowled · James Anderson3 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b James Anderson | 13 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 61.90 |
 Shubman Gillcaught · Ben Foakes · Shoaib Bashir11 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Ben Foakes · b Shoaib Bashir | 104 | 147 | 11 | 2 | 70.75 |
| caught · Ben Stokes · b Tom Hartley |
| 29 |
| 52 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 55.77 |
| Rajat Patidarcaught · Ben Foakes · Rehan Ahmed 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ben Foakes · b Rehan Ahmed | 9 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 47.37 |
|---|
 Axar Patellbw · Tom Hartley6 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Tom Hartley | 45 | 84 | 6 | 0 | 53.57 |
|---|
| Srikar Bharatcaught · Ben Stokes · Rehan Ahmed 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ben Stokes · b Rehan Ahmed | 6 | 28 | 1 | 0 | 21.43 |
|---|
 Ravichandran Ashwincaught · Ben Foakes · Rehan Ahmed2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Ben Foakes · b Rehan Ahmed | 29 | 61 | 2 | 1 | 47.54 |
|---|
 Kuldeep Yadavcaught · Ben Duckett · Tom Hartley0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ben Duckett · b Tom Hartley | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Jasprit Bumrahcaught · Jonny Bairstow · Tom Hartley0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jonny Bairstow · b Tom Hartley | 0 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Mukesh Kumarnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 0 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 James Anderson1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 1 | 29 | 2 | 2.90 | 0 | 0 |
| Shoaib Bashir0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 15.0 | 0 | 58 | 1 | 3.87 | 0 | 0 |
 Rehan Ahmed5 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 24.3 | 5 | 88 | 3 | 3.59 | 0 | 0 |
 Joe Root1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Tom Hartley3 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 27.0 | 3 | 77 | 4 | 2.85 | 0 | 1 |
1-29 (Rohit Sharma, 6.4) · 2-30 (Yashasvi Jaiswal, 8.3) · 3-111 (Shreyas Iyer, 27.1) · 4-122 (Rajat Patidar, 31.0) · 5-211 (Shubman Gill, 56.0) · 6-220 (Axar Patel, 60.0) · 7-228 (Srikar Bharat, 64.4) · 8-229 (Kuldeep Yadav, 65.5) · 9-255 (Jasprit Bumrah, 77.4) · 10-255 (Ravichandran Ashwin, 78.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 10/0 |
| 3 | 1 | 11/0 |
| 4 | 12 | 23/0 |
| 5 | 5 | 28/0 |
| 6 | 0 | 28/0 |
| 7 | 1 | 29/1 |
| 8 | 1 | 30/1 |
| 9 | 0 | 30/2 |
| 10 | 4 | 34/2 |
| 11 | 1 | 35/2 |
| 12 | 1 | 36/2 |
| 13 | 4 | 40/2 |
| 14 | 2 | 42/2 |
| 15 | 4 | 46/2 |
| 16 | 2 | 48/2 |
| 17 | 9 | 57/2 |
| 18 | 9 | 66/2 |
| 19 | 3 | 69/2 |
| 20 | 6 | 75/2 |
| 21 | 4 | 79/2 |
| 22 | 3 | 82/2 |
| 23 | 9 | 91/2 |
| 24 | 5 | 96/2 |
| 25 | 0 | 96/2 |
| 26 | 7 | 103/2 |
| 27 | 8 | 111/2 |
| 28 | 5 | 116/3 |
| 29 | 1 | 117/3 |
| 30 | 1 | 118/3 |
| 31 | 4 | 122/4 |
| 32 | 4 | 126/4 |
| 33 | 0 | 126/4 |
| 34 | 3 | 129/4 |
| 35 | 1 | 130/4 |
| 36 | 9 | 139/4 |
| 37 | 5 | 144/4 |
| 38 | 1 | 145/4 |
| 39 | 2 | 147/4 |
| 40 | 4 | 151/4 |
| 41 | 14 | 165/4 |
| 42 | 1 | 166/4 |
| 43 | 6 | 172/4 |
| 44 | 2 | 174/4 |
| 45 | 6 | 180/4 |
| 46 | 2 | 182/4 |
| 47 | 1 | 183/4 |
| 48 | 1 | 184/4 |
| 49 | 2 | 186/4 |
| 50 | 6 | 192/4 |
| 51 | 6 | 198/4 |
| 52 | 3 | 201/4 |
| 53 | 2 | 203/4 |
| 54 | 2 | 205/4 |
| 55 | 4 | 209/4 |
| 56 | 2 | 211/5 |
| 57 | 7 | 218/5 |
| 58 | 2 | 220/5 |
| 59 | 0 | 220/5 |
| 60 | 0 | 220/6 |
| 61 | 0 | 220/6 |
| 62 | 2 | 222/6 |
| 63 | 0 | 222/6 |
| 64 | 5 | 227/6 |
| 65 | 1 | 228/7 |
| 66 | 1 | 229/8 |
| 67 | 1 | 230/8 |
| 68 | 1 | 231/8 |
| 69 | 1 | 232/8 |
| 70 | 1 | 233/8 |
| 71 | 1 | 234/8 |
| 72 | 1 | 235/8 |
| 73 | 7 | 242/8 |
| 74 | 1 | 243/8 |
| 75 | 1 | 244/8 |
| 76 | 1 | 245/8 |
| 77 | 10 | 255/8 |
| 78 | 0 | 255/9 |
| 79 | 0 | 255/10 |
Tom Hartley: Dave Morton · Public domain
James Anderson: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Jasprit Bumrah: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Ollie Pope: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Yashasvi Jaiswal: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Ben Duckett: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Axar Patel: Anand Anil · CC BY-SA 4.0
Rehan Ahmed: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ben Foakes: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Rohit Sharma: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Joe Root: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ravichandran Ashwin: Dee03 · CC BY-SA 3.0
Zak Crawley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Kuldeep Yadav: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Shubman Gill: Bollywood Hungama · CC BY 3.0
Shreyas Iyer: 247 Entertainment · CC BY 3.0
Jonny Bairstow: Mcadge · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Stokes: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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