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England tour of India · 2023/24 · Men
2 Feb 2024 · Test
Dr. Y.S. Rajasekhara Reddy ACA-VDCA Cricket Stadium, Visakhapatnam · Venue photographIndia more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Yashasvi Jaiswalcaught · Jonny Bairstow · James Anderson19 fours · 7 sixes | caught · Jonny Bairstow · b James Anderson | 209 | 290 | 19 | 7 | 72.07 |
 Rohit Sharmacaught · Ollie Pope · Shoaib Bashir0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ollie Pope · b Shoaib Bashir | 14 | 41 | 0 | 0 | 34.15 |
 Shubman Gillcaught · Ben Foakes · James Anderson5 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ben Foakes · b James Anderson | 34 | 46 | 5 | 0 | 73.91 |
| caught · Ben Foakes · b Tom Hartley |
| 27 |
| 59 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 45.76 |
| Rajat Patidarbowled · Rehan Ahmed 3 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Rehan Ahmed | 32 | 72 | 3 | 0 | 44.44 |
|---|
 Axar Patelcaught · Rehan Ahmed · Shoaib Bashir4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Rehan Ahmed · b Shoaib Bashir | 27 | 51 | 4 | 0 | 52.94 |
|---|
| Srikar Bharatcaught · Shoaib Bashir · Rehan Ahmed 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Shoaib Bashir · b Rehan Ahmed | 17 | 23 | 2 | 1 | 73.91 |
|---|
 Ravichandran Ashwincaught · Ben Foakes · James Anderson4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ben Foakes · b James Anderson | 20 | 37 | 4 | 0 | 54.05 |
|---|
 Kuldeep Yadavnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 8* | 42 | 0 | 0 | 19.05 |
|---|
 Jasprit Bumrahcaught · Joe Root · Rehan Ahmed1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Joe Root · b Rehan Ahmed | 6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Mukesh Kumarcaught · Joe Root · Shoaib Bashir 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Joe Root · b Shoaib Bashir | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 0 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 James Anderson4 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 25.0 | 4 | 47 | 3 | 1.88 | 0 | 1 |
 Joe Root0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 14.0 | 0 | 71 | 0 | 5.07 | 0 | 0 |
 Tom Hartley2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 18.0 | 2 | 74 | 1 | 4.11 | 0 | 0 |
| Shoaib Bashir1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 38.0 | 1 | 138 | 3 | 3.63 | 0 | 0 |
 Rehan Ahmed2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 17.0 | 2 | 65 | 3 | 3.82 | 0 | 0 |
1-40 (Rohit Sharma, 17.3) · 2-89 (Shubman Gill, 28.5) · 3-179 (Shreyas Iyer, 50.4) · 4-249 (Rajat Patidar, 71.1) · 5-301 (Axar Patel, 85.3) · 6-330 (Srikar Bharat, 91.0) · 7-364 (Ravichandran Ashwin, 100.3) · 8-383 (Yashasvi Jaiswal, 106.5) · 9-395 (Jasprit Bumrah, 110.5) · 10-396 (Mukesh Kumar, 112.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 8 | 9/0 |
| 3 | 3 | 12/0 |
| 4 | 1 | 13/0 |
| 5 | 1 | 14/0 |
| 6 | 1 | 15/0 |
| 7 | 0 | 15/0 |
| 8 | 4 | 19/0 |
| 9 | 1 | 20/0 |
| 10 | 3 | 23/0 |
| 11 | 4 | 27/0 |
| 12 | 1 | 28/0 |
| 13 | 4 | 32/0 |
| 14 | 5 | 37/0 |
| 15 | 2 | 39/0 |
| 16 | 1 | 40/0 |
| 17 | 0 | 40/0 |
| 18 | 1 | 41/1 |
| 19 | 12 | 53/1 |
| 20 | 2 | 55/1 |
| 21 | 1 | 56/1 |
| 22 | 3 | 59/1 |
| 23 | 2 | 61/1 |
| 24 | 4 | 65/1 |
| 25 | 3 | 68/1 |
| 26 | 2 | 70/1 |
| 27 | 5 | 75/1 |
| 28 | 10 | 85/1 |
| 29 | 4 | 89/2 |
| 30 | 10 | 99/2 |
| 31 | 4 | 103/2 |
| 32 | 2 | 105/2 |
| 33 | 1 | 106/2 |
| 34 | 3 | 109/2 |
| 35 | 3 | 112/2 |
| 36 | 0 | 112/2 |
| 37 | 1 | 113/2 |
| 38 | 9 | 122/2 |
| 39 | 2 | 124/2 |
| 40 | 1 | 125/2 |
| 41 | 5 | 130/2 |
| 42 | 7 | 137/2 |
| 43 | 2 | 139/2 |
| 44 | 3 | 142/2 |
| 45 | 13 | 155/2 |
| 46 | 5 | 160/2 |
| 47 | 3 | 163/2 |
| 48 | 1 | 164/2 |
| 49 | 9 | 173/2 |
| 50 | 2 | 175/2 |
| 51 | 5 | 180/3 |
| 52 | 6 | 186/3 |
| 53 | 7 | 193/3 |
| 54 | 2 | 195/3 |
| 55 | 1 | 196/3 |
| 56 | 1 | 197/3 |
| 57 | 5 | 202/3 |
| 58 | 5 | 207/3 |
| 59 | 8 | 215/3 |
| 60 | 3 | 218/3 |
| 61 | 4 | 222/3 |
| 62 | 1 | 223/3 |
| 63 | 2 | 225/3 |
| 64 | 2 | 227/3 |
| 65 | 0 | 227/3 |
| 66 | 5 | 232/3 |
| 67 | 2 | 234/3 |
| 68 | 10 | 244/3 |
| 69 | 1 | 245/3 |
| 70 | 4 | 249/3 |
| 71 | 0 | 249/3 |
| 72 | 0 | 249/4 |
| 73 | 1 | 250/4 |
| 74 | 3 | 253/4 |
| 75 | 2 | 255/4 |
| 76 | 4 | 259/4 |
| 77 | 13 | 272/4 |
| 78 | 5 | 277/4 |
| 79 | 5 | 282/4 |
| 80 | 5 | 287/4 |
| 81 | 2 | 289/4 |
| 82 | 3 | 292/4 |
| 83 | 5 | 297/4 |
| 84 | 3 | 300/4 |
| 85 | 0 | 300/4 |
| 86 | 1 | 301/5 |
| 87 | 1 | 302/5 |
| 88 | 5 | 307/5 |
| 89 | 16 | 323/5 |
| 90 | 6 | 329/5 |
| 91 | 1 | 330/6 |
| 92 | 2 | 332/6 |
| 93 | 4 | 336/6 |
| 94 | 5 | 341/6 |
| 95 | 2 | 343/6 |
| 96 | 1 | 344/6 |
| 97 | 2 | 346/6 |
| 98 | 5 | 351/6 |
| 99 | 1 | 352/6 |
| 100 | 8 | 360/6 |
| 101 | 4 | 364/7 |
| 102 | 11 | 375/7 |
| 103 | 6 | 381/7 |
| 104 | 0 | 381/7 |
| 105 | 1 | 382/7 |
| 106 | 1 | 383/7 |
| 107 | 0 | 383/8 |
| 108 | 4 | 387/8 |
| 109 | 2 | 389/8 |
| 110 | 2 | 391/8 |
| 111 | 4 | 395/9 |
| 112 | 1 | 396/10 |
Tom Hartley: Dave Morton · Public domain
James Anderson: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Jasprit Bumrah: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Ollie Pope: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Yashasvi Jaiswal: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Ben Duckett: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Axar Patel: Anand Anil · CC BY-SA 4.0
Rehan Ahmed: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ben Foakes: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Rohit Sharma: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Joe Root: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ravichandran Ashwin: Dee03 · CC BY-SA 3.0
Zak Crawley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Kuldeep Yadav: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Shubman Gill: Bollywood Hungama · CC BY 3.0
Shreyas Iyer: 247 Entertainment · CC BY 3.0
Jonny Bairstow: Mcadge · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Stokes: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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