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Photo: Yorkspotter
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Australia tour of England · 2024 · Men
27 Sept 2024 · ODI
Lord's · Venue photographAustralia more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mitchell Marshbowled · Jofra Archer2 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Jofra Archer | 28 | 34 | 2 | 1 | 82.35 |
 Travis Headbowled · Brydon Carse4 fours · 2 sixes | bowled · b Brydon Carse | 34 | 23 | 4 | 2 | 147.83 |
 Steve Smithcaught · Jamie Smith · Matthew Potts1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jamie Smith · b Matthew Potts | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 83.33 |
 Josh Ingliscaught · Will Jacks · Brydon Carse0 fours · 0 sixes |
| caught · Will Jacks · b Brydon Carse |
| 8 |
| 15 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 53.33 |
 Marnus Labuschagnebowled · Brydon Carse0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Brydon Carse | 4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
|---|
 Alex Careylbw · Matthew Potts0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Matthew Potts | 13 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 59.09 |
|---|
 Glenn Maxwellcaught · Jamie Smith · Jofra Archer0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jamie Smith · b Jofra Archer | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
 Sean Abbottcaught · Liam Livingstone · Matthew Potts0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Liam Livingstone · b Matthew Potts | 10 | 21 | 0 | 1 | 47.62 |
|---|
 Mitchell Starcnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 8 | 0 | 0 | 37.50 |
|---|
 Adam Zampacaught · Liam Livingstone · Matthew Potts0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Liam Livingstone · b Matthew Potts | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Josh Hazlewoodbowled · Adil Rashid0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Adil Rashid | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 8 · wides: 11 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Matthew Potts2 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 2 | 38 | 4 | 4.75 | 3 | 0 |
 Jofra Archer0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 0 | 33 | 2 | 4.71 | 2 | 0 |
 Brydon Carse0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 0 | 36 | 3 | 6.00 | 3 | 0 |
 Adil Rashid0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.4 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 3.00 | 3 | 0 |
1-68 (Travis Head, 8.4) · 2-75 (Steve Smith, 10.0) · 3-80 (Mitchell Marsh, 11.2) · 4-91 (Josh Inglis, 14.2) · 5-93 (Marnus Labuschagne, 14.5) · 6-96 (Glenn Maxwell, 15.4) · 7-119 (Sean Abbott, 22.0) · 8-122 (Alex Carey, 23.1) · 9-122 (Adam Zampa, 23.3) · 10-126 (Josh Hazlewood, 24.4)
Recorded target: 313 runs in 39 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/0 |
| 2 | 7 | 15/0 |
| 3 | 4 | 19/0 |
| 4 | 6 | 25/0 |
| 5 | 8 | 33/0 |
| 6 | 8 | 41/0 |
| 7 | 19 | 60/0 |
| 8 | 6 | 66/0 |
| 9 | 2 | 68/1 |
| 10 | 7 | 75/2 |
| 11 | 4 | 79/2 |
| 12 | 3 | 82/3 |
| 13 | 2 | 84/3 |
| 14 | 5 | 89/3 |
| 15 | 4 | 93/5 |
| 16 | 3 | 96/6 |
| 17 | 5 | 101/6 |
| 18 | 2 | 103/6 |
| 19 | 3 | 106/6 |
| 20 | 5 | 111/6 |
| 21 | 1 | 112/6 |
| 22 | 7 | 119/7 |
| 23 | 3 | 122/7 |
| 24 | 0 | 122/9 |
| 25 | 4 | 126/10 |
Josh Hazlewood: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mitchell Marsh: www.davidmolloyphotography.com · CC BY 2.0
Harry Brook: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jofra Archer: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Brydon Carse: Dave Morton · Public domain
Marnus Labuschagne: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Matthew Potts: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ben Duckett: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Adam Zampa: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Travis Head: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Steve Smith: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Jamie Smith: Dave Morton · Public domain
Alex Carey: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Josh Inglis: Prime Video AU & NZ · CC BY 3.0
Mitchell Starc: Dave Morton · Public domain
Will Jacks: Dave Morton · Public domain
Philip Salt: Dave Morton · Public domain
Adil Rashid: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Sean Abbott: Naparazzi · CC BY-SA 2.0
Glenn Maxwell: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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