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Photo: PaddyBriggs
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Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
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Women's Super Smash · 2024/25 · Women
1 Feb 2025 · T20
Basin Reserve, Wellington · Venue photographRecorded result
Wellington started on 64%; Wellington batted first.
Wellington's chances ranged from 45% to 100% during the match (Northern Districts: 1% to 55%).
Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Amelia Kerrcaught · Jess Watkin · Kayley Knight4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jess Watkin · b Kayley Knight | 29 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 120.83 |
| Rebecca Burnslbw · MW Downes 5 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b MW Downes | 21 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 210.00 |
| Hannah Darlingtoncaught · JEI Prasad · Jess Watkin 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · JEI Prasad · b Jess Watkin | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 62.50 |
| Jess Kerrcaught and bowled · Kayley Knight 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Kayley Knight | 24 | 29 | 2 | 0 | 82.76 |
 |
| lbw · b Nensi Patel |
| 5 |
| 9 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 55.56 |
| Jess McFadyencaught · C Agafili · Sarah Glenn 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · C Agafili · b Sarah Glenn | 17 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 68.00 |
|---|
| CR Kingnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 19* | 15 | 1 | 0 | 126.67 |
|---|
| S Mackindernot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 200.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 2 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 4 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MW Downes0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 6.50 | 2 | 0 |
| Nensi Patel0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 6.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Jess Watkin0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 6.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Kayley Knight0 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 5.33 | 0 | 2 |
 Sarah Glenn0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 6.00 | 2 | 0 |
| C Agafili0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-23 (Rebecca Burns, 2.1) · 2-30 (Hannah Darlington, 3.5) · 3-63 (Amelia Kerr, 8.1) · 4-81 (Maitlan Brown, 12.1) · 5-88 (Jess Kerr, 14.4) · 6-129 (Jess McFadyen, 19.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 9/0 |
| 2 | 14 | 23/0 |
| 3 | 4 | 27/1 |
| 4 | 5 | 32/2 |
| 5 | 3 | 35/2 |
| 6 | 12 | 47/2 |
| 7 | 10 | 57/2 |
| 8 | 6 | 63/2 |
| 9 | 1 | 64/3 |
| 10 | 4 | 68/3 |
| 11 | 10 | 78/3 |
| 12 | 3 | 81/3 |
| 13 | 2 | 83/4 |
| 14 | 4 | 87/4 |
| 15 | 5 | 92/5 |
| 16 | 9 | 101/5 |
| 17 | 6 | 107/5 |
| 18 | 8 | 115/5 |
| 19 | 10 | 125/5 |
| 20 | 8 | 133/6 |
Maitlan Brown: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Amelia Kerr: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sarah Glenn: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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