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Nigeria Quadrangular T20 Series · 2026 · Men
26 Sept 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Nigeria more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Nigeria started on 79%; Nigeria batted first.
Nigeria's chances ranged from 77% to 100% during the match (Ghana: 0% to 23%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TK Josephcaught · M Akhigbe · Vincent Adewoye 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · M Akhigbe · b Vincent Adewoye | 10 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 142.86 |
| J Guatamcaught · Chima Akachukwu · Vincent Adewoye 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Chima Akachukwu · b Vincent Adewoye | 5 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 41.67 |
| Richmond Baalericaught · Selim Salau · Vincent Adewoye 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Selim Salau · b Vincent Adewoye | 20 | 28 | 2 | 0 | 71.43 |
| J Solomoncaught · Sulaimon Runsewe · Vincent Adewoye 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sulaimon Runsewe · b Vincent Adewoye | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| P Yevugahlbw · Vincent Adewoye 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Vincent Adewoye | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| lbw · b R Abdulkareem |
| 0 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| Ayushmaan Mishracaught · Sulaimon Runsewe · R Abdulkareem 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sulaimon Runsewe · b R Abdulkareem | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Obed Agbomadziebowled · O Isesele 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b O Isesele | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Nitesh Hoodacaught · O Isesele · R Abdulkareem 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · O Isesele · b R Abdulkareem | 5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 55.56 |
|---|
| D Ateakbowled · R Abdulkareem 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b R Abdulkareem | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Vincent Ateaknot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 4 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warees Azeez0 maidens · 2 wides · 1 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 7.50 | 2 | 1 |
| Vincent Adewoye2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 2.75 | 0 | 0 |
| M Akhigbe0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 4.50 | 0 | 0 |
| R Abdulkareem0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 3.67 | 2 | 0 |
| O Isesele0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-15 (TK Joseph, 1.5) · 2-26 (J Guatam, 4.2) · 3-26 (J Solomon, 4.4) · 4-26 (P Yevugah, 4.5) · 5-32 (A Osei, 6.5) · 6-42 (Ayushmaan Mishra, 9.0) · 7-45 (Obed Agbomadzie, 9.4) · 8-45 (Richmond Baaleri, 10.4) · 9-51 (D Ateak, 12.2) · 10-55 (Nitesh Hooda, 13.0)
Recorded target: 147 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 9/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 15/1 |
| 3 | 7 | 22/1 |
| 4 | 4 | 26/1 |
| 5 | 0 | 26/4 |
| 6 | 5 | 31/4 |
| 7 | 1 | 32/5 |
| 8 | 5 | 37/5 |
| 9 | 5 | 42/6 |
| 10 | 3 | 45/7 |
| 11 | 0 | 45/8 |
| 12 | 5 | 50/8 |
| 13 | 5 | 55/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.