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Nigeria Quadrangular T20 Series · 2026 · Men
26 Sept 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Nigeria more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Nigeria started on 79%; Nigeria batted first.
Nigeria's chances ranged from 77% to 100% during the match (Ghana: 0% to 23%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sulaimon Runsewebowled · Obed Agbomadzie 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Obed Agbomadzie | 19 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 82.61 |
| Ali Rahmonnot out 4 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 61* | 46 | 4 | 1 | 132.61 |
| Selim Salaucaught · TK Joseph · J Solomon 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · TK Joseph · b J Solomon | 10 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 125.00 |
| Isaac Danladicaught · J Guatam · Ayushmaan Mishra 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · J Guatam · b Ayushmaan Mishra | 17 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 106.25 |
| Vincent Adewoyecaught · P Yevugah · Nitesh Hooda 0 fours · 2 sixes | caught · P Yevugah · b Nitesh Hooda | 20 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 153.85 |
| caught · P Yevugah · b Ayushmaan Mishra |
| 8 |
| 5 |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 160.00 |
| M Akhigbenot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 7* | 9 | 0 | 0 | 77.78 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vincent Ateak0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 6.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Obed Agbomadzie0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 |
| J Solomon0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Richmond Baaleri0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Nitesh Hooda0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 7.33 | 2 | 0 |
| Ayushmaan Mishra0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 6.25 | 2 | 0 |
| P Yevugah0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 15.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-14 (Selim Salau, 2.2) · 2-62 (Sulaimon Runsewe, 9.1) · 3-91 (Isaac Danladi, 13.3) · 4-118 (Vincent Adewoye, 16.5) · 5-127 (Isaac Okpe, 17.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 12/0 |
| 3 | 9 | 21/1 |
| 4 | 6 | 27/1 |
| 5 | 10 | 37/1 |
| 6 | 4 | 41/1 |
| 7 | 9 | 50/1 |
| 8 | 6 | 56/1 |
| 9 | 6 | 62/1 |
| 10 | 3 | 65/2 |
| 11 | 10 | 75/2 |
| 12 | 7 | 82/2 |
| 13 | 7 | 89/2 |
| 14 | 3 | 92/3 |
| 15 | 7 | 99/3 |
| 16 | 15 | 114/3 |
| 17 | 5 | 119/4 |
| 18 | 9 | 128/5 |
| 19 | 5 | 133/5 |
| 20 | 13 | 146/5 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.