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Continental Cup · 2026 · Men
20 Jun 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Belgium started on 50%; Belgium batted first.
Belgium's chances ranged from 33% to 100% during the match (Switzerland: 0% to 67%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sahil Tarakhilcaught · Hadisullah Tarakhel · R Thapliyal 5 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Hadisullah Tarakhel · b R Thapliyal | 57 | 45 | 5 | 3 | 126.67 |
| Numan Ahmadzaicaught · Walid Sahibzada · Zaki Ul Hassan 0 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Walid Sahibzada · b Zaki Ul Hassan | 13 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 185.71 |
| Raihan Stanikzaicaught · Omid Mailk Khel · Zaki Ul Hassan 5 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Omid Mailk Khel · b Zaki Ul Hassan | 23 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 191.67 |
| H Deshanlbw · Ahmad Khalid Ahmadzai 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Ahmad Khalid Ahmadzai | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Diyon Johnsonbowled · Ahmad Khalid Ahmadzai 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ahmad Khalid Ahmadzai | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 71.43 |
| M Stanikzairun out · Omid Mailk Khel, R Thapliyal · Ahmad Khalid Ahmadzai 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Omid Mailk Khel, R Thapliyal | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Naim Stanikzairun out · Hadisullah Tarakhel, Omid Mailk Khel · Hadisullah Tarakhel 0 fours · 2 sixes | run out · Hadisullah Tarakhel, Omid Mailk Khel | 24 | 21 | 0 | 2 | 114.29 |
|---|
| I Stewartnot out 1 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 27* | 17 | 1 | 1 | 158.82 |
|---|
| Ashwin Vinodnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 6 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R Thapliyal0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 5.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Zaki Ul Hassan0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 2 | 8.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Hadisullah Tarakhel0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 37 | 0 | 12.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Said Hakim0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 5.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Ahmad Khalid Ahmadzai0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 2 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
| B Niaz0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 16.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-15 (Numan Ahmadzai, 2.0) · 2-50 (Raihan Stanikzai, 5.2) · 3-61 (H Deshan, 7.2) · 4-89 (Diyon Johnson, 11.2) · 5-91 (M Stanikzai, 12.0) · 6-113 (Sahil Tarakhil, 14.3) · 7-165 (Naim Stanikzai, 19.3)
Recorded target: 185 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/0 |
| 2 | 12 | 15/1 |
| 3 | 7 | 22/1 |
| 4 | 9 | 31/1 |
| 5 | 18 | 49/1 |
| 6 | 6 | 55/2 |
| 7 | 6 | 61/2 |
| 8 | 10 | 71/3 |
| 9 | 2 | 73/3 |
| 10 | 6 | 79/3 |
| 11 | 10 | 89/3 |
| 12 | 2 | 91/5 |
| 13 | 6 | 97/5 |
| 14 | 14 | 111/5 |
| 15 | 5 | 116/6 |
| 16 | 5 | 121/6 |
| 17 | 11 | 132/6 |
| 18 | 16 | 148/6 |
| 19 | 16 | 164/6 |
| 20 | 4 | 168/7 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.