Texas Super KingsversusSeattle Orcas

5 Jul 2025 · T20

Recorded result

Texas Super Kings won by 51 runs

Texas Super Kings20.0 overs188/4 Seattle Orcas18.4 overs137/10 Central Broward Regional Park Stadium Turf Ground, Lauderhill ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Texas Super Kings started on 59%; Texas Super Kings batted first.

Texas Super Kings’s chance of winning (%) · Seattle Orcas is the rest

Texas Super Kings's chances ranged from 51% to 100% during the match (Seattle Orcas: 0% to 49%).

Biggest swings

5.5: Jasdeep Singh to SK Patel, SK Patel out. Seattle Orcas up from 31% to 39%.
7.1: Jasdeep Singh to F du Plessis, SR Mukkamalla out. Seattle Orcas up from 40% to 47%.
2nd inns 4.2: AF Milne to DA Warner, DA Warner out. Texas Super Kings up from 72% to 81%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Match details

Toss: Seattle Orcas chose to field
Player of the match: Faf du Plessis
match referees: SJA Taufel
reserve umpires: Vijaya Mallela
tv umpires: P Wilson
umpires: Jermaine Lindo, LS Reifer

Match history & source

On 5 Jul 2025, Texas Super Kings played Seattle Orcas at Central Broward Regional Park Stadium Turf Ground, Lauderhill. Recorded result: Texas Super Kings won by 51 runs.

Calculation date: 9 Nov 2026.

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