OneTipOneHand
Bringing the game to you…
Loading your next view.
THE WORLD OF CRICKET. CONNECTED. One game. A global community.
OneTipOneHand
Loading your next view.
Spot an error, a missing record or a photograph that needs attention?
Photo: The original uploader was PaddyBriggs at English Wikipedia.
Original photograph ↗ · Public domain
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Ireland Women tour of South Africa · 2025/26 · Women
16 Dec 2025 · ODI
St George's Park, Gqeberha · Venue photographRecorded result
South Africa more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
South Africa started on 81%; South Africa batted first.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Forbescaught · Leah Jones · Eliz-Mari Marx 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Leah Jones · b Eliz-Mari Marx | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Gaby Lewiscaught · Tazmin Brits · Nondumiso Shangase 8 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tazmin Brits · b Nondumiso Shangase | 45 | 52 | 8 | 0 | 86.54 |
| Amy Hunterlbw · Nondumiso Shangase 6 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b Nondumiso Shangase | 64 | 66 | 6 | 1 | 96.97 |
| Orla Prendergastcaught · Suné Luus · Miané Smit 10 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Suné Luus · b Miané Smit | 97 | 86 | 10 | 2 | 112.79 |
| Laura Delanycaught · Karabo Meso · Leah Jones 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Karabo Meso · b Leah Jones | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
South Africa's chances ranged from 77% to 100% during the match (Ireland: 0% to 23%).
Tested on every ball of 175 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.129, against 0.189 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| caught · Eliz-Mari Marx · b Miané Smit |
| 36 |
| 36 |
| 5 |
| 0 |
| 100.00 |
| Rebecca Stokellbowled · Tumi Sekhukhune 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Tumi Sekhukhune | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 42.86 |
|---|
| Arlene Kellycaught · Suné Luus · Leah Jones 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Suné Luus · b Leah Jones | 20 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 142.86 |
|---|
| Jane Maguirecaught · Miané Smit · Suné Luus 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Miané Smit · b Suné Luus | 9 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 81.82 |
|---|
| Cara Murraycaught · Karabo Meso · Leah Jones 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Karabo Meso · b Leah Jones | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 85.71 |
|---|
| Aimee Maguirenot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 17 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eliz-Mari Marx1 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 1 | 53 | 1 | 6.63 | 5 | 0 |
| Leah Jones0 maidens · 8 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.5 | 0 | 48 | 3 | 7.02 | 8 | 0 |
| Tumi Sekhukhune0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 0 | 54 | 1 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Suné Luus0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 52 | 1 | 5.20 | 2 | 0 |
| Nondumiso Shangase0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 0 | 52 | 2 | 7.43 | 1 | 0 |
| Miané Smit0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 0 | 40 | 2 | 5.71 | 1 | 0 |
1-0 (Sarah Forbes, 0.5) · 2-77 (Gaby Lewis, 13.3) · 3-170 (Amy Hunter, 29.3) · 4-171 (Laura Delany, 30.1) · 5-251 (Leah Paul, 40.0) · 6-260 (Orla Prendergast, 41.3) · 7-264 (Rebecca Stokell, 42.4) · 8-290 (Jane Maguire, 45.5) · 9-295 (Arlene Kelly, 47.1) · 10-301 (Cara Murray, 47.5)
Recorded target: 376 runs in 50 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/1 |
| 2 | 9 | 9/1 |
| 3 | 10 | 19/1 |
| 4 | 7 | 26/1 |
| 5 | 6 | 32/1 |
| 6 | 6 | 38/1 |
| 7 | 6 | 44/1 |
| 8 | 3 | 47/1 |
| 9 | 12 | 59/1 |
| 10 | 2 | 61/1 |
| 11 | 2 | 63/1 |
| 12 | 8 | 71/1 |
| 13 | 4 | 75/1 |
| 14 | 8 | 83/2 |
| 15 | 5 | 88/2 |
| 16 | 7 | 95/2 |
| 17 | 4 | 99/2 |
| 18 | 5 | 104/2 |
| 19 | 6 | 110/2 |
| 20 | 4 | 114/2 |
| 21 | 2 | 116/2 |
| 22 | 8 | 124/2 |
| 23 | 3 | 127/2 |
| 24 | 9 | 136/2 |
| 25 | 6 | 142/2 |
| 26 | 3 | 145/2 |
| 27 | 4 | 149/2 |
| 28 | 9 | 158/2 |
| 29 | 8 | 166/2 |
| 30 | 5 | 171/3 |
| 31 | 7 | 178/4 |
| 32 | 2 | 180/4 |
| 33 | 5 | 185/4 |
| 34 | 13 | 198/4 |
| 35 | 9 | 207/4 |
| 36 | 9 | 216/4 |
| 37 | 14 | 230/4 |
| 38 | 3 | 233/4 |
| 39 | 11 | 244/4 |
| 40 | 7 | 251/5 |
| 41 | 7 | 258/5 |
| 42 | 4 | 262/6 |
| 43 | 2 | 264/7 |
| 44 | 8 | 272/7 |
| 45 | 9 | 281/7 |
| 46 | 9 | 290/8 |
| 47 | 5 | 295/8 |
| 48 | 6 | 301/10 |
Laura Wolvaardt: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Dane van Niekerk: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
.jpg){kind=link}
.jpg){kind=link}