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Indonesia Women's T20I Tri-Series · 2024 · Women
2 Jul 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Indonesia more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Indonesia started on 69%; Indonesia batted first.
Indonesia's chances ranged from 43% to 100% during the match (Bhutan: 0% to 57%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N Chodencaught and bowled · DAL Paramitha 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b DAL Paramitha | 6 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 46.15 |
| Anju Gurungcaught · NW Sariani · NMP Suwandewi 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · NW Sariani · b NMP Suwandewi | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 12.50 |
| T Zangmobowled · NMP Suwandewi 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b NMP Suwandewi | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| D Wangmocaught · NMP Suwandewi · L Qiao 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · NMP Suwandewi · b L Qiao | 4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 36.36 |
| K Demalbw · NLKWR Dewi 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b NLKWR Dewi | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
| Sonambowled · NLKWR Dewi0 fours · 0 sixes |
| bowled · b NLKWR Dewi |
| 0 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| Y Chodenrun out · NPAN Sakarini, NW Sariani · NLKWR Dewi 1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · NPAN Sakarini, NW Sariani | 12 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 70.59 |
|---|
| S Chodenstumped · NPAN Sakarini · NW Sariani 0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · NPAN Sakarini · b NW Sariani | 4 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 30.77 |
|---|
| Chado Omstumped · NPAN Sakarini · NW Sariani 0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · NPAN Sakarini · b NW Sariani | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
|---|
| R Chodennot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 8 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
|---|
| Anjuli Ghalleystumped · NPAN Sakarini · NW Sariani 0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · NPAN Sakarini · b NW Sariani | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 6 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NMP Suwandewi0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 2.67 | 1 | 0 |
| DAL Paramitha0 maidens · 2 wides · 1 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 3.00 | 2 | 1 |
| L Qiao0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 3.00 | 1 | 0 |
| NLKWR Dewi0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 1.67 | 0 | 0 |
| NW Sariani1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.5 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 3.18 | 0 | 0 |
| M Corazon0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4.00 | 2 | 0 |
1-8 (Anju Gurung, 2.4) · 2-8 (T Zangmo, 2.5) · 3-10 (N Choden, 3.4) · 4-17 (D Wangmo, 5.5) · 5-17 (K Dema, 6.1) · 6-18 (Sonam, 7.0) · 7-32 (Y Choden, 10.3) · 8-33 (Chado Om, 11.2) · 9-38 (S Choden, 13.4) · 10-38 (Anjuli Ghalley, 13.5)
Recorded target: 117 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 7/0 |
| 3 | 1 | 8/2 |
| 4 | 2 | 10/3 |
| 5 | 4 | 14/3 |
| 6 | 3 | 17/4 |
| 7 | 1 | 18/6 |
| 8 | 3 | 21/6 |
| 9 | 3 | 24/6 |
| 10 | 8 | 32/6 |
| 11 | 1 | 33/7 |
| 12 | 0 | 33/8 |
| 13 | 4 | 37/8 |
| 14 | 1 | 38/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.