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England Women tour of South Africa · 2024/25 · Women
15 Dec 2024 · Test
Mangaung Oval, Bloemfontein · Venue photographRecorded result
South Africa more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Laura Wolvaardtlbw · Sophie Ecclestone11 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Sophie Ecclestone | 65 | 147 | 11 | 0 | 44.22 |
| Anne Boschcaught · Amy Jones · Lauren Bell 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Amy Jones · b Lauren Bell | 6 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 27.27 |
| Annerie Dercksencaught · Sophie Ecclestone · Lauren Filer 8 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sophie Ecclestone · b Lauren Filer | 41 | 77 | 8 | 0 | 53.25 |
| Suné Luuscaught · Amy Jones · Lauren Filer 8 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Amy Jones · b Lauren Filer | 56 | 148 | 8 | 0 | 37.84 |
 Marizanne Kappbowled · Ryana MacDonald-Gay11 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ryana MacDonald-Gay | 57 | 74 | 11 | 0 | 77.03 |
|---|
| Nadine de Klerkcaught · Amy Jones · Ryana MacDonald-Gay 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Amy Jones · b Ryana MacDonald-Gay | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Chloe Tryoncaught · Tammy Beaumont · Lauren Bell4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tammy Beaumont · b Lauren Bell | 20 | 33 | 4 | 0 | 60.61 |
|---|
| Sinalo Jaftabowled · Lauren Bell 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Lauren Bell | 8 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Tumi Sekhukhunenot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 7* | 9 | 1 | 0 | 77.78 |
|---|
 Nonkululeko Mlababowled · Lauren Bell0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Lauren Bell | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Ayanda Hlubilbw · Nat Sciver-Brunt 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Nat Sciver-Brunt | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 12 · legbyes: 7 · wides: 1 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Lauren Filer1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 17.0 | 1 | 53 | 2 | 3.12 | 1 | 0 |
 Lauren Bell2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 13.0 | 2 | 49 | 4 | 3.77 | 0 | 0 |
 Sophie Ecclestone9 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 25.0 | 9 | 40 | 1 | 1.60 | 0 | 0 |
 Nat Sciver-Brunt1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.4 | 1 | 25 | 1 | 3.26 | 0 | 0 |
| Ryana MacDonald-Gay4 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 15.0 | 4 | 50 | 2 | 3.33 | 0 | 0 |
 Charlie Dean1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 11.0 | 1 | 45 | 0 | 4.09 | 0 | 0 |
1-21 (Anne Bosch, 7.3) · 2-113 (Annerie Dercksen, 36.2) · 3-138 (Laura Wolvaardt, 44.5) · 4-237 (Marizanne Kapp, 74.0) · 5-237 (Nadine de Klerk, 75.2) · 6-259 (Suné Luus, 82.1) · 7-271 (Chloe Tryon, 85.2) · 8-278 (Sinalo Jafta, 87.2) · 9-278 (Nonkululeko Mlaba, 87.3) · 10-281 (Ayanda Hlubi, 88.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/0 |
| 2 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 3 | 1 | 2/0 |
| 4 | 10 | 12/0 |
| 5 | 5 | 17/0 |
| 6 | 0 | 17/0 |
| 7 | 4 | 21/0 |
| 8 | 0 | 21/1 |
| 9 | 4 | 25/1 |
| 10 | 3 | 28/1 |
| 11 | 5 | 33/1 |
| 12 | 4 | 37/1 |
| 13 | 5 | 42/1 |
| 14 | 11 | 53/1 |
| 15 | 9 | 62/1 |
| 16 | 0 | 62/1 |
| 17 | 4 | 66/1 |
| 18 | 1 | 67/1 |
| 19 | 0 | 67/1 |
| 20 | 10 | 77/1 |
| 21 | 0 | 77/1 |
| 22 | 0 | 77/1 |
| 23 | 4 | 81/1 |
| 24 | 4 | 85/1 |
| 25 | 1 | 86/1 |
| 26 | 3 | 89/1 |
| 27 | 6 | 95/1 |
| 28 | 0 | 95/1 |
| 29 | 0 | 95/1 |
| 30 | 2 | 97/1 |
| 31 | 1 | 98/1 |
| 32 | 4 | 102/1 |
| 33 | 1 | 103/1 |
| 34 | 2 | 105/1 |
| 35 | 2 | 107/1 |
| 36 | 6 | 113/1 |
| 37 | 2 | 115/2 |
| 38 | 2 | 117/2 |
| 39 | 1 | 118/2 |
| 40 | 9 | 127/2 |
| 41 | 4 | 131/2 |
| 42 | 3 | 134/2 |
| 43 | 0 | 134/2 |
| 44 | 3 | 137/2 |
| 45 | 1 | 138/3 |
| 46 | 0 | 138/3 |
| 47 | 2 | 140/3 |
| 48 | 4 | 144/3 |
| 49 | 1 | 145/3 |
| 50 | 8 | 153/3 |
| 51 | 9 | 162/3 |
| 52 | 4 | 166/3 |
| 53 | 1 | 167/3 |
| 54 | 4 | 171/3 |
| 55 | 1 | 172/3 |
| 56 | 5 | 177/3 |
| 57 | 1 | 178/3 |
| 58 | 8 | 186/3 |
| 59 | 4 | 190/3 |
| 60 | 0 | 190/3 |
| 61 | 4 | 194/3 |
| 62 | 4 | 198/3 |
| 63 | 2 | 200/3 |
| 64 | 2 | 202/3 |
| 65 | 1 | 203/3 |
| 66 | 9 | 212/3 |
| 67 | 8 | 220/3 |
| 68 | 5 | 225/3 |
| 69 | 0 | 225/3 |
| 70 | 1 | 226/3 |
| 71 | 1 | 227/3 |
| 72 | 3 | 230/3 |
| 73 | 1 | 231/3 |
| 74 | 6 | 237/4 |
| 75 | 0 | 237/4 |
| 76 | 1 | 238/5 |
| 77 | 0 | 238/5 |
| 78 | 12 | 250/5 |
| 79 | 0 | 250/5 |
| 80 | 2 | 252/5 |
| 81 | 6 | 258/5 |
| 82 | 1 | 259/5 |
| 83 | 2 | 261/6 |
| 84 | 4 | 265/6 |
| 85 | 6 | 271/6 |
| 86 | 4 | 275/7 |
| 87 | 3 | 278/7 |
| 88 | 2 | 280/9 |
| 89 | 1 | 281/10 |
Heather Knight: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Charlie Dean: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Marizanne Kapp: Yu Chu Chin · CC BY-SA 4.0
Laura Wolvaardt: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nonkululeko Mlaba: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Amy Jones: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sophie Ecclestone: Harrias · CC BY-SA 4.0
Lauren Filer: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nat Sciver-Brunt: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tammy Beaumont: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Danielle Wyatt: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Chloe Tryon: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Lauren Bell: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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