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Bahrain tour of Kenya · 2026 · Men
31 Jul 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Bahrain more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Bahrain started on 52%; Bahrain batted first.
Bahrain's chances ranged from 34% to 100% during the match (Kenya: 0% to 66%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Subham Patelbowled · Rizwan Butt 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Rizwan Butt | 12 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Dhiren Gondariarun out · P Kurup · Rizwan Butt 5 fours · 4 sixes | run out · P Kurup | 73 | 49 | 5 | 4 | 148.98 |
| Rushab Patelbowled · Rizwan Butt 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Rizwan Butt | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Sachin Bhudialbw · Rizwan Butt 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Rizwan Butt | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Rakep Patelbowled · Rizwan Butt0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Rizwan Butt | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
| Sachin Gillcaught · Sohail Ahmed · Asif Shaikh 2 fours · 0 sixes |
|---|
| caught · Sohail Ahmed · b Asif Shaikh |
| 14 |
| 11 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 127.27 |
 Sukhdeep Singhbowled · Asif Shaikh0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Asif Shaikh | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Shem Ngochebowled · Ali Dawood 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ali Dawood | 13 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 61.90 |
|---|
| Lucas Oluochnot out 1 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 20* | 13 | 1 | 1 | 153.85 |
|---|
 Vishil Patelnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ali Dawood0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 37 | 1 | 9.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Imran Anwar0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 11.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Rizwan Butt1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 17 | 4 | 4.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Abdul Majeed0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Asif Shaikh0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 2 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Asif Ali0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-42 (Subham Patel, 4.2) · 2-42 (Rushab Patel, 4.3) · 3-42 (Sachin Bhudia, 4.5) · 4-56 (Rakep Patel, 6.5) · 5-76 (Sachin Gill, 9.4) · 6-84 (Sukhdeep Singh, 11.2) · 7-107 (Shem Ngoche, 16.4) · 8-132 (Dhiren Gondaria, 19.0)
Recorded target: 160 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/0 |
| 2 | 10 | 18/0 |
| 3 | 12 | 30/0 |
| 4 | 12 | 42/0 |
| 5 | 0 | 42/3 |
| 6 | 12 | 54/3 |
| 7 | 3 | 57/4 |
| 8 | 10 | 67/4 |
| 9 | 4 | 71/4 |
| 10 | 9 | 80/5 |
| 11 | 4 | 84/5 |
| 12 | 6 | 90/6 |
| 13 | 1 | 91/6 |
| 14 | 1 | 92/6 |
| 15 | 7 | 99/6 |
| 16 | 5 | 104/6 |
| 17 | 6 | 110/7 |
| 18 | 11 | 121/7 |
| 19 | 11 | 132/8 |
| 20 | 12 | 144/8 |
Vishil Patel: Amuzujoe · CC BY-SA 4.0
Rakep Patel: Amuzujoe · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sukhdeep Singh: Amuzujoe · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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