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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Asia & EAP Qualifier · 2025/26 · Men
13 Oct 2025 · T20
Recorded result
United Arab Emirates more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
United Arab Emirates started on 62%; United Arab Emirates batted first.
United Arab Emirates's chances ranged from 4% to 69% during the match (Oman: 31% to 96%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Figycaught · AR Bisht · Shah Faisal 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · AR Bisht · b Shah Faisal | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Waseem Muhammadbowled · Sufyan Mehmood 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Sufyan Mehmood | 22 | 35 | 1 | 0 | 62.86 |
 Alishan Sharafulbw · Shakeel Ahmed0 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b Shakeel Ahmed | 8 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 133.33 |
| Rahul Chopracaught · Vinayak Shukla · Nadeem Khan (2) 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Vinayak Shukla · b Nadeem Khan (2) | 7 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 53.85 |
| Muhammad Arfancaught · Aamir Kaleem · Jiten Ramanandi 1 fours · 1 sixes |
| 17 |
| 15 |
| 1 |
| 1 |
| 113.33 |
| H Kaushikrun out · Aamir Kaleem, Vinayak Shukla · Sufyan Mehmood 0 fours · 1 sixes | run out · Aamir Kaleem, Vinayak Shukla | 19 | 18 | 0 | 1 | 105.56 |
|---|
| D Parasharrun out · Vinayak Shukla · Shah Faisal 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Vinayak Shukla | 17 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 85.00 |
|---|
| Zahid Alinot out 3 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 18* | 12 | 3 | 0 | 150.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shah Faisal0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 7.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Shakeel Ahmed0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 4.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Sufyan Mehmood0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 5.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Nadeem Khan (2)0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 5.25 | 0 | 0 |
| AR Bisht0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Jiten Ramanandi0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 4.75 | 0 | 0 |
1-0 (Jonathan Figy, 0.1) · 2-9 (Alishan Sharafu, 1.3) · 3-34 (Rahul Chopra, 7.5) · 4-48 (Waseem Muhammad, 10.4) · 5-61 (Muhammad Arfan, 12.4) · 6-92 (H Kaushik, 17.3) · 7-112 (D Parashar, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/1 |
| 2 | 5 | 13/2 |
| 3 | 2 | 15/2 |
| 4 | 1 | 16/2 |
| 5 | 5 | 21/2 |
| 6 | 7 | 28/2 |
| 7 | 3 | 31/2 |
| 8 | 3 | 34/3 |
| 9 | 3 | 37/3 |
| 10 | 5 | 42/3 |
| 11 | 7 | 49/4 |
| 12 | 9 | 58/4 |
| 13 | 5 | 63/5 |
| 14 | 4 | 67/5 |
| 15 | 5 | 72/5 |
| 16 | 10 | 82/5 |
| 17 | 6 | 88/5 |
| 18 | 7 | 95/6 |
| 19 | 3 | 98/6 |
| 20 | 14 | 112/7 |
Alishan Sharafu: Sharafu.abuali · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
