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Photo: Mnnngchris at English Wikipedia
Original photograph ↗ · Public domain
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
4 Jun 2025 · T20
The County Ground, Derby · Venue photographRecorded result
Northamptonshire started on 51%; Northamptonshire batted first.
Northamptonshire's chances ranged from 23% to 98% during the match (Derbyshire: 2% to 77%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Aneurin Donaldcaught · Luke Procter · David Willey0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Luke Procter · b David Willey | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Caleb Jewellcaught · Justin Broad · Luke Procter 5 fours · 4 sixes | caught · Justin Broad · b Luke Procter | 71 | 44 | 5 | 4 | 161.36 |
| David Lloydcaught · Ricardo Vasconcelos · David Willey 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ricardo Vasconcelos · b David Willey | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Wayne Madsencaught · David Willey · Ben Sanderson1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · David Willey · b Ben Sanderson | 9 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 81.82 |
| not out |
| 83* |
| 50 |
| 9 |
| 4 |
| 166.00 |
 Ross Whiteleynot out1 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 15* | 8 | 1 | 1 | 187.50 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 6 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 David Willey1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 19 | 2 | 4.75 | 0 | 0 |
 Ben Sanderson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 1 | 8.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Luke Procter0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 37 | 1 | 9.25 | 0 | 0 |
 George Scrimshaw0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 35 | 0 | 11.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Lloyd Pope0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 10.00 | 4 | 0 |
 Ravi Bopara0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 12.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Saif Zaib0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 13.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-0 (Aneurin Donald, 0.2) · 2-12 (David Lloyd, 2.3) · 3-33 (Wayne Madsen, 5.4) · 4-147 (Caleb Jewell, 16.3)
Recorded target: 195 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/1 |
| 2 | 7 | 11/1 |
| 3 | 1 | 12/2 |
| 4 | 4 | 16/2 |
| 5 | 6 | 22/2 |
| 6 | 16 | 38/3 |
| 7 | 3 | 41/3 |
| 8 | 9 | 50/3 |
| 9 | 11 | 61/3 |
| 10 | 5 | 66/3 |
| 11 | 9 | 75/3 |
| 12 | 15 | 90/3 |
| 13 | 8 | 98/3 |
| 14 | 13 | 111/3 |
| 15 | 15 | 126/3 |
| 16 | 18 | 144/3 |
| 17 | 10 | 154/4 |
| 18 | 12 | 166/4 |
| 19 | 14 | 180/4 |
| 20 | 8 | 188/4 |
Ross Whiteley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Aneurin Donald: Dave Morton · Public domain
George Scrimshaw: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ben Sanderson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ben Aitchison: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ravi Bopara: Stephen Turner at English Wikipedia · CC BY-SA 3.0
Luke Procter: Dave Morton · Public domain
David Willey: Whatisthefrequencykenneth · CC BY 3.0
Samit Patel: Oliver Brown · CC BY-SA 3.0
Wayne Madsen: Parklands cobbler · CC BY 3.0
Zak Chappell: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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