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Pearl of Africa T20I Series · 2025 · Men
19 Jul 2025 · T20
Recorded result
United Arab Emirates more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Uganda started on 47%; Uganda batted first.
Uganda's chances ranged from 7% to 96% during the match (United Arab Emirates: 4% to 93%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muhammad Zohaibrun out · Juma Miyagi · Dinesh Nakrani 1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Juma Miyagi | 24 | 28 | 1 | 0 | 85.71 |
| Waseem Muhammadbowled · Dinesh Nakrani 4 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Dinesh Nakrani | 33 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 117.86 |
 Alishan Sharafucaught · Robinson Obuya · Dinesh Nakrani0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Robinson Obuya · b Dinesh Nakrani | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
| Rahul Chopralbw · AR Ramjani 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b AR Ramjani | 8 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| Asif Khanlbw · Juma Miyagi 1 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b Juma Miyagi |
| 13 |
| 1 |
| 1 |
| 115.38 |
| Ethan Carl D'Souzabowled · Juma Miyagi 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Juma Miyagi | 7 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 58.33 |
|---|
| Saghir Khanlbw · Juma Miyagi 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Juma Miyagi | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Zuhaib Zubairrun out · CN Kakuru, Cosmas Kyewuta · Juma Miyagi 1 fours · 1 sixes | run out · CN Kakuru, Cosmas Kyewuta | 15 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 250.00 |
|---|
| D Parasharnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Haider Alinot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 7 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juma Miyagi0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 3 | 7.00 | 1 | 0 |
| F Nsubuga0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Cosmas Kyewuta0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 8.67 | 0 | 0 |
| AR Ramjani0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 4.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Dinesh Nakrani0 maidens · 6 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 2 | 5.50 | 6 | 0 |
| M Musinguzi0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-55 (Waseem Muhammad, 8.0) · 2-59 (Alishan Sharafu, 10.0) · 3-62 (Muhammad Zohaib, 11.1) · 4-71 (Rahul Chopra, 14.1) · 5-97 (Asif Khan, 17.1) · 6-98 (Ethan Carl D'Souza, 17.4) · 7-111 (Saghir Khan, 19.1) · 8-119 (Zuhaib Zubair, 19.4)
Recorded target: 127 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 12/0 |
| 3 | 5 | 17/0 |
| 4 | 6 | 23/0 |
| 5 | 10 | 33/0 |
| 6 | 11 | 44/0 |
| 7 | 6 | 50/0 |
| 8 | 5 | 55/1 |
| 9 | 2 | 57/1 |
| 10 | 2 | 59/2 |
| 11 | 3 | 62/2 |
| 12 | 3 | 65/3 |
| 13 | 4 | 69/3 |
| 14 | 2 | 71/3 |
| 15 | 6 | 77/4 |
| 16 | 8 | 85/4 |
| 17 | 12 | 97/4 |
| 18 | 3 | 100/6 |
| 19 | 11 | 111/6 |
| 20 | 9 | 120/8 |
Alishan Sharafu: Sharafu.abuali · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
