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Photo: HLloyd8
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast · 2024 · Men
19 Jul 2024 · T20
Sophia Gardens, Cardiff · Venue photographRecorded result
Glamorgan started on 32%; Glamorgan batted first.
Glamorgan's chances ranged from 32% to 100% during the match (Somerset: 0% to 68%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Bantoncaught · Mason Crane · Timm van der Gugten 2 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Mason Crane · b Timm van der Gugten | 28 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 215.38 |
| George Thomascaught · William Smale · BI Kellaway 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · William Smale · b BI Kellaway | 16 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 160.00 |
 Tom Kohler-Cadmorecaught · William Smale · Timm van der Gugten0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · William Smale · b Timm van der Gugten | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Tom Abellbowled · Mason Crane4 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Mason Crane | 29 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 145.00 |
| bowled · b Andy Gorvin |
| 12 |
| 7 |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 171.43 |
 Lewis Gregorycaught · Tom Bevan · Marnus Labuschagne1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Bevan · b Marnus Labuschagne | 7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Ben Greenbowled · Marnus Labuschagne 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Marnus Labuschagne | 8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 133.33 |
|---|
 Craig Overtonnot out1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 7* | 7 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Riley Meredithbowled · Marnus Labuschagne 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Marnus Labuschagne | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Jack Leachbowled · Marnus Labuschagne0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Marnus Labuschagne | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Jake Ballbowled · Marnus Labuschagne2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Marnus Labuschagne | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 133.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 2 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Timm van der Gugten0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 27 | 2 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Daniel Douthwaite0 maidens · 2 wides · 2 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 17.00 | 2 | 2 |
| BI Kellaway0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Mason Crane0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 35 | 1 | 8.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Andy Gorvin0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Marnus Labuschagne1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.3 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 4.40 | 0 | 0 |
1-40 (Tom Banton, 2.4) · 2-40 (Tom Kohler-Cadmore, 2.5) · 3-53 (George Thomas, 4.2) · 4-88 (Sean Dickson, 7.5) · 5-90 (Tom Abell, 8.4) · 6-102 (Lewis Gregory, 10.0) · 7-113 (Ben Green, 11.1) · 8-113 (Riley Meredith, 11.4) · 9-113 (Jack Leach, 12.0) · 10-123 (Jake Ball, 13.3)
Recorded target: 244 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 11/0 |
| 2 | 25 | 36/0 |
| 3 | 8 | 44/2 |
| 4 | 9 | 53/2 |
| 5 | 5 | 58/3 |
| 6 | 8 | 66/3 |
| 7 | 15 | 81/3 |
| 8 | 7 | 88/4 |
| 9 | 4 | 92/5 |
| 10 | 10 | 102/6 |
| 11 | 11 | 113/6 |
| 12 | 0 | 113/9 |
| 13 | 9 | 122/9 |
| 14 | 1 | 123/10 |
Mason Crane: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Craig Overton: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Kiran Carlson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Marnus Labuschagne: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Jack Leach: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Jake Ball: Dun.can · CC BY 2.0
Sean Dickson: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Abell: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chris Cooke: Dave Morton · Public domain
Lewis Gregory: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Timm van der Gugten: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Kohler-Cadmore: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Bevan: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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