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United States of America Women tour of Netherlands · 2025 · Women
12 Jun 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Netherlands more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Netherlands started on 83%; Netherlands batted first.
Netherlands's chances ranged from 83% to 100% during the match (United States of America: 0% to 17%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D Dhingracaught · S Khurana · Iris Zwilling 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · S Khurana · b Iris Zwilling | 7 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 70.00 |
| CR Pagydyalacaught · Caroline de Lange · Iris Zwilling 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Caroline de Lange · b Iris Zwilling | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Ritu Singhbowled · I van der Woning 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b I van der Woning | 10 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 43.48 |
| AI Chudasamanot out 8 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 60* | 54 | 8 | 0 | 111.11 |
| Geetika Kodalicaught · L Hamilton · Silver Siegers 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · L Hamilton · b Silver Siegers | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| run out · Babette de Leede, I van der Woning |
| 22 |
| 19 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 115.79 |
| Gargi Bhoglenot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iris Zwilling0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 17 | 2 | 4.25 | 0 | 0 |
| L Hamilton0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Heather Siegers0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 4.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Caroline de Lange0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| I van der Woning0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 7.75 | 3 | 0 |
| Silver Siegers0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-1 (CR Pagydyala, 0.4) · 2-12 (D Dhingra, 4.3) · 3-31 (Ritu Singh, 8.3) · 4-53 (Geetika Kodali, 12.2) · 5-108 (Pooja Ganesh, 19.2)
Recorded target: 165 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| 2 | 4 | 5/1 |
| 3 | 5 | 10/1 |
| 4 | 2 | 12/1 |
| 5 | 1 | 13/2 |
| 6 | 5 | 18/2 |
| 7 | 10 | 28/2 |
| 8 | 2 | 30/2 |
| 9 | 2 | 32/3 |
| 10 | 4 | 36/3 |
| 11 | 5 | 41/3 |
| 12 | 12 | 53/3 |
| 13 | 3 | 56/4 |
| 14 | 7 | 63/4 |
| 15 | 5 | 68/4 |
| 16 | 6 | 74/4 |
| 17 | 8 | 82/4 |
| 18 | 7 | 89/4 |
| 19 | 17 | 106/4 |
| 20 | 6 | 112/5 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.