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Norway tour of Portugal · 2025 · Men
7 Apr 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Norway started on 47%; Norway batted first.
Norway's chances ranged from 33% to 100% during the match (Portugal: 0% to 67%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Khizer Ahmedcaught · Najjam Shahzad · U Shantu2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Najjam Shahzad · b U Shantu | 14 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 116.67 |
| Usman Arif (2)caught · Amandeep Singh · JAM Henri 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Amandeep Singh · b JAM Henri | 22 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 110.00 |
| D Abeyrathnalbw · Sirajullah Khadim 6 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Sirajullah Khadim | 33 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 122.22 |
| Junaid Mehmoodcaught · M Machado · R Hashu 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · M Machado · b R Hashu | 27 | 23 | 1 | 1 | 117.39 |
| Faisal Razanot out 2 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 37* | 30 |
| 2 |
| 2 |
| 123.33 |
| Sher Sahakcaught · D Norotam · R Hashu 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · D Norotam · b R Hashu | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Vishal Sharma (2)caught · D Norotam · R Hashu 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · D Norotam · b R Hashu | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 120.00 |
|---|
| Qamar Mushtaquenot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 2 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 10 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| U Shantu0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 3.50 | 1 | 0 |
| JAM Henri0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 9.33 | 4 | 0 |
| Najjam Shahzad0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 10.67 | 3 | 0 |
| Sirajullah Khadim0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 6.25 | 0 | 0 |
| R Hashu0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 3 | 8.25 | 2 | 0 |
| Amandeep Singh0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-19 (Khizer Ahmed, 2.3) · 2-77 (D Abeyrathna, 9.4) · 3-82 (Usman Arif (2), 10.3) · 4-136 (Junaid Mehmood, 17.4) · 5-138 (Sher Sahak, 18.0) · 6-149 (Vishal Sharma (2), 19.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 9 | 13/0 |
| 3 | 7 | 20/1 |
| 4 | 14 | 34/1 |
| 5 | 1 | 35/1 |
| 6 | 16 | 51/1 |
| 7 | 4 | 55/1 |
| 8 | 3 | 58/1 |
| 9 | 13 | 71/1 |
| 10 | 9 | 80/2 |
| 11 | 5 | 85/3 |
| 12 | 9 | 94/3 |
| 13 | 5 | 99/3 |
| 14 | 4 | 103/3 |
| 15 | 15 | 118/3 |
| 16 | 3 | 121/3 |
| 17 | 9 | 130/3 |
| 18 | 8 | 138/5 |
| 19 | 7 | 145/5 |
| 20 | 9 | 154/6 |
Khizer Ahmed: Khizer22 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
