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Photo: Paul Williams from United Kingdom
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Women · 2025 · Women
18 Jul 2025 · T20
The County Ground, Chelmsford · Venue photographRecorded result
Essex started on 44%; Essex batted first.
Essex's chances ranged from 27% to 98% during the match (Durham: 2% to 73%).
Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sophia Smale · b Abtaha Maqsood | 45 | 39 | 5 | 0 | 115.38 |
| Emma Marlowcaught · Jodi Grewcock · Sophia Smale 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jodi Grewcock · b Sophia Smale | 25 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 108.70 |
0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Abtaha Maqsood | 7 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 87.50 |
| Mady Villierscaught · Jo Gardner · Sophia Smale 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jo Gardner · b Sophia Smale | 28 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 127.27 |
| lbw · b Eva Gray |
| 24 |
| 18 |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 133.33 |
| Emily Windsornot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Mia Rogersstumped · Amara Carr · Madeline Penna 0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Amara Carr · b Madeline Penna | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
|---|
| Katherine Fraserrun out · Kate Coppack · Madeline Penna 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Kate Coppack | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Phoebe Turnerstumped · Amara Carr · Madeline Penna 0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Amara Carr · b Madeline Penna | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Sophia Turnernot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 5 · legbyes: 6 · wides: 3 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kate Coppack0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
| 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 2 | 6.50 | 0 | 1 | |
| Jodi Grewcock0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 8.00 | 3 | 0 |
| Eva Gray0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 36 | 1 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
| 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 2 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 | |
| Abtaha Maqsood0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 2 | 6.50 | 0 | 1 |
1-78 (Emma Marlow, 9.3) · 2-84 (Suzie Bates, 10.3) · 3-97 (Hollie Armitage, 12.3) · 4-137 (Mady Villiers, 17.2) · 5-145 (Bess Heath, 18.2) · 6-148 (Mia Rogers, 19.1) · 7-152 (Katherine Fraser, 19.3) · 8-154 (Phoebe Turner, 19.5)
Recorded target: 165 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/0 |
| 2 | 9 | 16/0 |
| 3 | 7 | 23/0 |
| 4 | 6 | 29/0 |
| 5 | 11 | 40/0 |
| 6 | 8 | 48/0 |
| 7 | 4 | 52/0 |
| 8 | 12 | 64/0 |
| 9 | 12 | 76/0 |
| 10 | 6 | 82/1 |
| 11 | 4 | 86/2 |
| 12 | 9 | 95/2 |
| 13 | 4 | 99/3 |
| 14 | 10 | 109/3 |
| 15 | 6 | 115/3 |
| 16 | 8 | 123/3 |
| 17 | 13 | 136/3 |
| 18 | 7 | 143/4 |
| 19 | 5 | 148/5 |
| 20 | 7 | 155/8 |
Madeline Penna: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Hollie Armitage: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Suzie Bates: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Sophia Smale: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.