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Photo: Paul Williams from United Kingdom
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Women · 2025 · Women
18 Jul 2025 · T20
The County Ground, Chelmsford · Venue photographRecorded result
Essex started on 44%; Essex batted first.
Essex's chances ranged from 27% to 98% during the match (Durham: 2% to 73%).
Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Katherine Fraser | 25 | 29 | 3 | 0 | 86.21 |
| Grace Scrivenscaught · Phoebe Turner · Sophia Turner 6 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Phoebe Turner · b Sophia Turner | 48 | 39 | 6 | 0 | 123.08 |
| Cordelia Griffithcaught · Emily Windsor · Katie Levick 8 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Emily Windsor · b Katie Levick | 60 | 35 | 8 | 1 | 171.43 |
| Jodi Grewcocknot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 12* | 9 | 1 | 0 | 133.33 |
| Jo Gardnernot out 0 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 10* | 8 | 0 | 1 |
| 125.00 |
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 5 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Fraser0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 38 | 1 | 9.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Phoebe Turner0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 8.25 | 5 | 0 |
| Mady Villiers0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Katie Levick0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Sophia Turner0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 37 | 1 | 9.25 | 0 | 0 |
1-63 (Madeline Penna, 8.4) · 2-129 (Grace Scrivens, 16.0) · 3-151 (Cordelia Griffith, 18.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 8 | 14/0 |
| 3 | 5 | 19/0 |
| 4 | 8 | 27/0 |
| 5 | 10 | 37/0 |
| 6 | 8 | 45/0 |
| 7 | 3 | 48/0 |
| 8 | 6 | 54/0 |
| 9 | 10 | 64/1 |
| 10 | 3 | 67/1 |
| 11 | 13 | 80/1 |
| 12 | 4 | 84/1 |
| 13 | 10 | 94/1 |
| 14 | 14 | 108/1 |
| 15 | 12 | 120/1 |
| 16 | 9 | 129/2 |
| 17 | 11 | 140/2 |
| 18 | 11 | 151/2 |
| 19 | 4 | 155/3 |
| 20 | 9 | 164/3 |
Madeline Penna: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Hollie Armitage: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Suzie Bates: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Sophia Smale: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.